shadroch said:
I'm dubious about the 99.8%, I think it's a smig lower, but no way you are up that after 20,000 rolls.
if you are playing a 50-50 game, after 20,000 rolls you'll have 10,000 losses and 10,000 wins for 0 profit.
If you won all 20,000 using loaded die you'd be up 20,000.
I'm all for a serious discussion of OG,and its benefits and drawbacks. Then some yahoo comes along with amazing claims and everyone goes back to treating it like voodoo.
Well, it depends on what he meant by 20000 rolls. Or did he say decisons - can't remember.
If he meant rolls of the dice then I doubt it can be true since it takes 6+ rolls or so on avg (I think - don't play craps either lol) to settle a pass line bet.
But using OG, a "series" is to me defined by as many rolls as it takes to either win that unit or go bust trying.
If he meant 20000 series, each of those representing a 1 unit win or loss of x units, I can see it.
The 99.8+% assumes a 1000 unit roll. It would be a smidge lower with fewer initial units in roll.
In your 50-50 example, say a coin-flip with even-money pay-off, yes, you'd expect the coin to have 10000 heads and 10000 tails. But with a 10000 unit roll, using OG, you will expect to win about 99.991% of your "series" - as many flips as it takes to either win a unit or lose all.
I don't know, off hand, the avg length (number of coin tosses) that result in a winning series or the avg length of coin-tosses that would result in a losing series with a 10000 unit roll. But it would be more coin-flips than a winning series.
I could speculate on stuff of what the OP may or may not be doing or what he may mean by using certain terminology or, even, if he was applying OG correctly or not.
Any guy who can record 20,000 decisions while practicing his understanding of a voodoo betting system, whether it's the way I understand it or not, has my respect.
If he had said he was 3000 units up, would that make it better to you?
It's always still voodoo, regardless of his results.
Even if it were to turn out he may be doing stuff while employing OG that I might not agree with completely, for one reason or another, I see no reason to slam a guy, especially in voodoo, without knowing all that's going on and welcome the chance to discuss what he's doing vs how maybe I might do it.
Was it you who used OG on BJ and still insisted on calling it OG - can't remember lol?
