Planning a trip to Vegas to win big money at blackjack: Unless I'm missing something
- Thread starter Dashofpepper
- Start date
Better yet, find someone like yourself (Dashofpepper) who will be willing to flip coins with you. There, at least, you will get a 50/50 bet and no limits except what you bring to the table. 
PS-- Of course, if you (Dashofpepper) know what you're doing, you can get an advantage in the stock market. But I'm assuming you don't want to wait a long time to see results. Let 'er rip, Skip!
PS-- Of course, if you (Dashofpepper) know what you're doing, you can get an advantage in the stock market. But I'm assuming you don't want to wait a long time to see results. Let 'er rip, Skip!
gamblingghost said:
I've had a pet gray squirrel! They don't have rabies! His name was, Baby.
A friend of mine died this weekend. Talk about squirrels. When he drove his van to his parking place, they say the squirrels all ran down the trees to meet him. His son told me that he'll probably get the job of continuing the squirrel feeding his father was famous for.
My wife is a wildlife fan herself. While some people hate squirrels, we have the fattest, happiest squirrels in the county. The birds could be happier, however, since the squirrels have defeated every squirrel-proof bird feeder we have bought.
One of my well-fed squirrels bit me a couple of months back. It was my fault, as I started to stand up as he was taking the nut. He didn't even draw blood, but I called the County anyway, and they told me that squirrels were not considered carriers of rabies and I did not require rabies shots.
Two or three months later, I'm here, alive and well :laugh:
Two or three months later, I'm here, alive and well :laugh:
My story is from my childhood, so it's a bit dated. I think they considered any wild animal a potential carrier of rabies back then. I'm surprised they still don't. I wonder why a racoon or a dog can have rabies, but a squirrel can't?
I found this on the internet:
Squirrels are almost never found to be infected with the (Dead link: http://rabies.emedtv.com/rabies-virus/rabies-virus.html) _rabies virus_. Squirrels also have not been known to cause (Dead link: http://rabies.emedtv.com/rabies/rabies.html) _rabies_ in humans within the United States. Bites from a squirrel are not considered a risk for rabies unless the animal was sick or behaving in an unusual manner, and rabies is widespread in the area.
I found this on the internet:
Squirrels are almost never found to be infected with the (Dead link: http://rabies.emedtv.com/rabies-virus/rabies-virus.html) _rabies virus_. Squirrels also have not been known to cause (Dead link: http://rabies.emedtv.com/rabies/rabies.html) _rabies_ in humans within the United States. Bites from a squirrel are not considered a risk for rabies unless the animal was sick or behaving in an unusual manner, and rabies is widespread in the area.
From my understanding, the rationale is that if a squirrel were to be attacked by one of those more common carriers that you mention, such as a dog or raccoon, the attack itself would most likely kill the squirrel, thus making the transmission of rabies a moot point. As a mammal, they *can* carry rabies, but their small size makes surviving the attack and living long enough to spread it very remote.
Either way, I know firsthand those sharp teeth can hurt! It even made a nice gouge in my thumb nail.
Thanks,
TMH
Either way, I know firsthand those sharp teeth can hurt!
It even made a nice gouge in my thumb nail. Thanks,
TMH
I re-habed my little 'Baby'. So he was very thankful and he knew I saved him.
Now, as far as hand feeding the ones outside in the wild. No way! I have been bitten by the little precious varmits and THAT is painful.
Squirrels are very territorial so if one gets in your house you will have to catch him and take him far away. But squirrel watching is great because they have little 'hands' that can handle and manipulate nuts and it really looks funny. They are also hilarious acrobats! Now, if they just wouldn't go WILD after a year or two they would be GREAT pets. And if they weren't so damn destructive and chew on everything in sight. If you don't mind having your house destroyed they are cool for the first year or two.
Now, as far as hand feeding the ones outside in the wild. No way! I have been bitten by the little precious varmits and THAT is painful.
Squirrels are very territorial so if one gets in your house you will have to catch him and take him far away. But squirrel watching is great because they have little 'hands' that can handle and manipulate nuts and it really looks funny. They are also hilarious acrobats! Now, if they just wouldn't go WILD after a year or two they would be GREAT pets. And if they weren't so damn destructive and chew on everything in sight. If you don't mind having your house destroyed they are cool for the first year or two.
Progression is progression. Would you risk $89,000 assuming you won't lose 11 hands in a row? That's the total you know. If you count cards you know not to use that system. Fact is if you only have $64,000, you won't have enough to cover the 11th bet, you would need about $89,000. I count and know all B.S. moves and bets, I have lost 11 in a row before. If you're sold on progession, start at a $10 table and move to a higher limit when you max out that limit. I you're not an A.P. you're going to lose in the long run anyway.
It is desastreous for every game of chance. The reason is overbetting.
In martingale you do a lot of overbetting, since you increase your bets when your bankroll drops, and decrease your bets when your bankroll rises.
In a positive EV game you have to increase your bets when your bankroll grows, and decrease your bets when your bankroll shrinks. You would want to bet a constant fraction of your bankroll - in a simplest win/loss game it is the Kelly fraction.
In a negative EV game it doesn't matter how you bet, you will bust in the long run almost surely. You are doomed from the beginning. The only way to win a negative EV game is not to play.
In martingale you do a lot of overbetting, since you increase your bets when your bankroll drops, and decrease your bets when your bankroll rises.
In a positive EV game you have to increase your bets when your bankroll grows, and decrease your bets when your bankroll shrinks. You would want to bet a constant fraction of your bankroll - in a simplest win/loss game it is the Kelly fraction.
In a negative EV game it doesn't matter how you bet, you will bust in the long run almost surely. You are doomed from the beginning. The only way to win a negative EV game is not to play.
The martingale does not enhance your positive expectation. It does cause you to over-bet your hand, which we all know is a recipe for disaster. There is a reason that all authorities on card counting recommend betting in relation to one's advantage. Imagine what your RoR will look like employing a martingale.