Hi there. I recently started playing blackjack at a casino without any understanding of betting guides, my only experience with blackjack so far was in videogames for imaginary money on my tv set. I play at SkyCity Adelaide in Australia, they do not use a hole card and dealer always stays on a hard or soft 17. The first few games I was by myself, so it was just me and the dealer, and I quickly figured out that I could make my moves based on what the dealer was going to draw next if I did not hit for another card.
Say I have a 14 and the dealer is showing an 8. According to the basic strategy I should hit because the dealer is probably going to draw a 9 or higher to make at least 17 which will beat me. So I will be hitting because I think the dealer will get that 9 or higher card. But if I think the next card will probably be a 9 or higher then that means I will probably go bust. What I want the next card for me to be is a 7 or lower. But if I’m hoping for a 7 or lower, wouldn’t I be better off letting the dealer have the 7 to make 15 and then draw ANOTHER 7 or higher that will probably bust the dealer? The basic strategy on the whole seems rock solid, it is almost the same as the strategy I worked out in my head, except in situations like this. It doesn’t make sense to me for ME to hit when I think the next card will win for the dealer, but if I take that same card it would send me bust. I will probably lose either way, so wouldn’t I be better off keeping my 14 rather than taking the chance of going bust?
I'm not sure if I expressed that idea properly, but is that a good way to play? Or is my whole logic with caring that the next card will go to the dealer if I don't take it really flawed, like does it not matter?
I really enjoy blackjack, I have played 6 games so far, starting with 50 dollars for each one and I always walk away with 100 dollars, I double my money. Usually while playing I end up with 200 dollars, but then I lose my winnings down to a 100 and then walk away while I am still ahead. A question about my winnings so far, has it just been luck that I have been walking away with double my money, have I been walking away too soon, or have I been doing ok with walking away with 50 extra dollars?
Thanks for your help ^_^ They don't teach you these kind of things in school, so I look forward to your answers.
EDIT: I do not count cards and for some reason I often assume the next card will be worth 10. Is that also a bad mind frame, assuming the next card will be a 10?
Say I have a 14 and the dealer is showing an 8. According to the basic strategy I should hit because the dealer is probably going to draw a 9 or higher to make at least 17 which will beat me. So I will be hitting because I think the dealer will get that 9 or higher card. But if I think the next card will probably be a 9 or higher then that means I will probably go bust. What I want the next card for me to be is a 7 or lower. But if I’m hoping for a 7 or lower, wouldn’t I be better off letting the dealer have the 7 to make 15 and then draw ANOTHER 7 or higher that will probably bust the dealer? The basic strategy on the whole seems rock solid, it is almost the same as the strategy I worked out in my head, except in situations like this. It doesn’t make sense to me for ME to hit when I think the next card will win for the dealer, but if I take that same card it would send me bust. I will probably lose either way, so wouldn’t I be better off keeping my 14 rather than taking the chance of going bust?
I'm not sure if I expressed that idea properly, but is that a good way to play? Or is my whole logic with caring that the next card will go to the dealer if I don't take it really flawed, like does it not matter?
I really enjoy blackjack, I have played 6 games so far, starting with 50 dollars for each one and I always walk away with 100 dollars, I double my money. Usually while playing I end up with 200 dollars, but then I lose my winnings down to a 100 and then walk away while I am still ahead. A question about my winnings so far, has it just been luck that I have been walking away with double my money, have I been walking away too soon, or have I been doing ok with walking away with 50 extra dollars?
Thanks for your help ^_^ They don't teach you these kind of things in school, so I look forward to your answers.
EDIT: I do not count cards and for some reason I often assume the next card will be worth 10. Is that also a bad mind frame, assuming the next card will be a 10?
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