Sonny said:
Over exaggerating once again. Saying things like “Roulette can’t be beat” and “There’s no more +EV VP anywhere” are what is holding you back from being an AP. If a 5.26% advantage is impossible to beat, how do you think people beat the 10% vig on sports betting? How do people beat the 3.37% house edge at Three Card Poker, or the 24% house edge at Big 6? The house edge usually has nothing to do with the ability to beat a game. It’s all about beating the cards/wheel/dealer, not the game. Being an AP is all about finding ways to beat the games that seem impossible to win, like 6:5 BJ and CSMs.
You can’t just automatically dismiss something because it doesn’t make sense to you. You have to sit down and think about it first. Sometimes you have to do a little math too. Maybe do a little research too before you say that something is impossible. It took RJT about one minute to show you how roulette can mathematically be beaten. It’s just a simple EV calculation of a biased wheel that shows over a 2% advantage. That’s much bigger than most card counters would ever expect. Imagine what kind of advantage you could have if you had a more accurate prediction and could narrow the outcome down to 8 numbers instead of 35!
Don’t be so quick to judge.
-Sonny-
i dont know who you take me as, or who you think of yourself as, but it appears you would like to get a tattoo that says "im a real AP" and you would like a certificate saying "official AP".. i could say how i think im an AP, but i dont think of it like that, its not always a simple yes/no.. i am playing at an advantage at bj, but i dont care what label i have, i really dont.. somebody could tell you that because you are spreading 1-8 instead of 1-10 your not a true ap, and another could say that they are an ap just because they lowered the house edge, its all relative, and it seems to me that a lot of people on here that use that term are basically saying "i am smarter than you, and love pointing that out all the time"..
i have told you before, when i say NEVER or ALWAYS i dont mean it 100%.. for instance, if i said, sonny, you will NEVER become president, cant you figure out what i mean by that? you do realize that a lot of people on this forum arent too bright and that if one of us says "oh ya, roulette can easily be beat" or something to that tune, that others will do stupid crap like watch the wheel for 5 minutes and think "i found a bias", i am exaggerating purposely to basically say that it takes insane skill and patience to beat roulette, or to video +ev vp, well, not skill for the vp, but its just super rare, and if im wrong, then so are the authors of the 7 or so vp books i read, and those were from 2-10 years ago! you know how casinos have cracked down on vp now (or mabye you dont, along with the other dude who claimed that +ev vp is abundant).. so i have about 7 books, and 7 casinos worth of evidence that +ev vp is rare, as not 1 machine in chicagoland is +ev, i checked extensively, and obviously we arent counting progressives, most of which have crappy pay tables anyways..
yes, i admit i will quickly say something, and then look back and say wait a minute, i was wrong about that, but you guys take stuff way too literally.. if i say "you wont find 2:1 blackjack" i am simply saying to the people on here who dont know much, that dont drive all over the damn place thinking you have a 40% chance of finding one or something, thats all.. sonny, i think your smart and i listen to what you say, but sometimes you totally dont get me..
you seriously think that i think that the house edge is how i base if you can beat it or not? thats stupid.. you cant beat a slot with a 1% house edge, yet you could beat a texas holdem game even if the house took 15% of all bets.. i believe i have said a lot of smart things on here (and a lot of dumb ones too), and for you to think that i believe something ploppyish is foolish
notice how a lot of times i say "i am guessing here", "about", "around", "probably", etc.. when have i ever said "i am right, i am 100% sure, there is no way i can be proved wrong, i did no math on this but i am the smartest person ever"? also, a lot of times i am expecting to be proved wrong.. i like it when i say "thats not really possible" and somebody says "actually.." (altho most of the time they are being technical)
