Sonny said:
Your EV is your advantage. In this case, you expect to win about 2.98 units per hour. With a $50 unit that's $149 per hour. This assumes that you are seeing 100 hands per hour and playing roughly 72 of them.
As you can see, the variance is very high for this strategy (make column C a little wider to see the dollar amount). You can easily win/lose $4,000 in a single hour of play. You have about a 20% chance of losing all your money, and it only goes down to 8.84% if you resize your bets after losing half of your bankroll. That's a very risky strategy.
-Sonny-
This is great - I was just trying to figure stuff like this out. I can't now lol. But does your sheet mean you'd be betting a total of $900 at those higher counts? And $750 at that intermediate count (can't see the pic now)?
Would you say you maybe mean "rounds" (number of dealer upcards played against) rather than "hands"? Or do you mean, if you spread to 3 hands vs one dealer upcard, that that is 3 "hands" as opposed to one "round"?
I think I think you mean it'd be $900 and 1 round lol
Maybe tomorrow I can figure it out. I've never been completely sure of the answers to my questions above but think the answers would be $900 and 1 "round".
Is, by any chance, what you are doing here like on page 20 of BJAIII, at least for SD calcs?