jimpenn said:
"they'd know that you can cut 1 deck off and do 2 shuffles to get more money from the ploppies than you ever would from stopping the counters."
Could you please explain further or reference source.
Thanks, JP
Don't really need a source. It's just logic. By cutting 2 more decks off you add about 30% more hands before the shuffle. And by doing a simpler shuffle, you might cut 3 minutes off of your shuffle time. That adds up to 10-15 more hands an hour on all the ploppies. Now multiply that by your counter to ploppy ratio of, let's be conservative and say 100-1, and you'll quickly see that it makes no sense to cut off 3 decks.
Let's do some math.
100 ploppies * .02 (2% disadvantage, which again is generous)
*2 units (2 units average bet size, again generous)
*10 more hands per hour=
40 more units per hour that you take from the ploppy.
Now, let's assume that for every 100 ploppies, you have a world class counter, using full indeces, spreading... 1-30. How many units an hour could he possibly take off you, providing that absolutely no one in the casino is at all skilled in game protection so they could stop him. 5 units an hour? So, we're giving up at least 40 units in order to protect ourselves from 5 units of loss.
Hell, not offering good rules tends to hurt the casino more than help it. Why? Because the ploppies double down on 8s, or soft double against 2's, or surrender a 13 against a 7. The more rules you give them, the more rope they have to hang themselves. So what if you're giving a counter using full indeces another 1% of an advantage. How many customers that come into your casino are competent counters that know full index play? I'd bet there are less than 100 counters in the country that can use full surrender indeces.
Bottom line: offer good games, and the ploppies will piss their money away, happily. You'll land more high rollers. And they know they're getting better odds, or at least more options, and they get to play more hands an hour. Sure, the counters may hit you, but if you train your staff just a little you should at least stop them from spreading so much that they can really harm your bottom line.