Worst day in my career.
- Thread starter BJgenius007
- Start date
This is how we lost Mathman. He read Antichrist's post (near bottom) and never returned. z:laugh:g
Chasing your losses by increasing your max bet just because you are losing is a dangerous habit to develop. If anything a big loss should cause you to decrease your bet because your bankroll has shrunk. If anything I'd be more inclined to split 22 v 7 in a higher count. For example, 33 v 8 becomes a split in higher counts, presumably because of the value of catching the odd double down. I don't really recommend the use of cover, but especially not when you are in max bet territory. I'm curious about how much your play cost you in terms of EV.
4 v 7 returns -0.088 for hitting. Not bad.
2,2 v 7 returns 0.006 by splitting. Significantly better.
Presumably, the difference between these plays increases at higher counts.
So it looks like you cost yourself around $27 in EV by choosing to hit, as you go from a half a point advantage to a nine point disadvantage. This is pretty substantial!
Negative variance happens. It is important not to let this affect you or tilt you just because you get a string of bad luck. And don't be afraid to walk away a loser once in a while either. There is no shame in quitting when you are stuck.
4 v 7 returns -0.088 for hitting. Not bad.
2,2 v 7 returns 0.006 by splitting. Significantly better.
Presumably, the difference between these plays increases at higher counts.
So it looks like you cost yourself around $27 in EV by choosing to hit, as you go from a half a point advantage to a nine point disadvantage. This is pretty substantial!
Negative variance happens. It is important not to let this affect you or tilt you just because you get a string of bad luck. And don't be afraid to walk away a loser once in a while either. There is no shame in quitting when you are stuck.
