Recent content by alienated

Price fong, I would consider selling you information on how to beat these machines under one of the following arrangements: i) For $2 million USD you can have the info on condition that you sign a confidentiality agreement not to reveal the info to anyone else. ii) For $5 million USD...

Different concern I only took a quick glance at the link, but I think the concern in the paper is with how much shuffling is required to ensure "good as random" results for computer simulations or other computer applications that require random features. For blackjack, obviously the shuffle...

Profitability Having said that, your sim of the scenario you considered does show a strong improvement in win rate, SCORE, N0, etc as you note. The increase in action shows that you are identifying more big bet situations, so the 0.2% increase in advantage refers to a bigger "outlay" of chips...

That's the role of N iCountNTrack, your numerical example illustrates why N is needed in the formula, and why N needs to be greater than q (actual playzone size): it's because, hypothetically, or notionally, the expected big cards did not come out because they were stuck behind the "virtual...

It's good to be here. Actually, I often read the posts. I just don't get around to posting much at the moment. Glad you got something out of the CCC post. I don't know why Snyder chose to leave out NRS. Maybe it suits the way he tracks himself. As I indicated in my previous post, I think...

Cookbook betting I also have a problem with the betting recommendations in the cookbook and the broader conclusions Snyder draws from them. (My opinion is that the cookbook is quite good on some methods of tracking shuffles, but not good on betting or the evaluation of profitability.)...

Clarification Almost worthless still worthes in someplaces. In my area there are some 4 deck games with -0.23% at top, easily play by wonging. Another casino offers 0.7% junket chip commission that turns into about 0.35% real rebate, then +0.12% at top, counting helps. And only CSMs offered in...

Clarification regarding compartments Regarding the minimum number of cards before emptying a compartment, I was referring to the one2six machines. Another poster had stated that according to a dealer the compartments had to have 10 cards before emptying. The patent number you provide in your...

Compartments Insertion may or may not be random, but it seems unlikely given the logistics involved in getting cards ready for play almost immediately. However, this in itself does not make the machines beatable. You need to know precisely how the cards are sorted, etc. There are a few...

Hi & a minor point Hi Sonny. I'm still around. I enjoy reading everyone's posts. Just don't have much to say these days ...

If you discover something, keep it to yourself This thread is interesting in some respects, but I don't understand why you guys would want to discuss your ideas about this topic on a public forum. I don't know if you'll be able to find a way to beat the machines or not, but if you could...

Thanks Sonny. Glad you enjoyed.

A vague answer and some other remarks It won't always be very effective to focus on the cutoffs. As Automatic Monkey says, plugging may contribute to a very even dispersion of the cutoffs throughout the shoe. Even if the cutoffs are topped, they may still get very evenly dispersed. But there...

A couple of examples <em>It doesn't buy you all that much, just on the average adds/subtracts a few cards from play. But if you were playing a shoe game where you knew a couple of 5's had been thrown in the trash can, pretty good deal no? Once you calculate those two points, it's...

MathProf paper Search "Risk-Averse insurance paper" on bj21 Green Chip Theory page.