Recent content by lothariorowe

  1. lothariorowe

    Martingale Vs Card Counting

    Ok ok, I know, I get it now. It only takes 16 hands to make 2 different 15 card series - not the 30 hands I was thinking. But that's still crazy odds for 21gunsalute - to lose 15 consecutive hands 5 times should require 68,364 hands played, right??
  2. lothariorowe

    What Math is Missing from this Martingale Strategy?

    Ok, so you are basically saying that for every 64 hands, there are 64 different 6 card series made (provided no beginning or end)? That makes sense. I was isolating every 6 card series instead of viewing them continuously...
  3. lothariorowe

    What Math is Missing from this Martingale Strategy?

    That's not true because the odds are representing 6 hands per unit. therefore the odds of 1/64 really = 1 (string of 6 hands) / 64 (strings of 6 hands). Considering actual losses occur 53% of the time, the more accurate odds of 6 consecutive losses would be 1/45, or, 6 consecutive losses per...
  4. lothariorowe

    Martingale Vs Card Counting

    If you lose 53% of hands, then the simple math for the odds of losing 15 in a row is (53/100)^15 which = about 1/13672 which means it averages happening once per 205,094 hands if you play perfect strategy. So if you've lost 15 consecutive hands on multiple occasions, it sounds like you either...
  5. lothariorowe

    What Math is Missing from this Martingale Strategy?

    That 6% does make a huge difference, but replacing x/2 in the equation with 47x/100 yields: 47x/100 - 63x/384 = ~3x/10, or, average gains of 30% of the minimum bet per hand. So considering a win 47% of the time, you should double your initial bank roll every 134 hands. Also considering the...
  6. lothariorowe

    Martingale Vs Card Counting

    with about 50/50 odds of a win per hand, wouldn't 15 losses in a row occur once per 491,520 hands, or a probability of 1/32,768?
  7. lothariorowe

    What Math is Missing from this Martingale Strategy?

    So obviously no betting strategy will ever work in the long run, I know this, so this is driving me crazy. What is missing from the following remedial formula? double your bet on losses, and return to the minimum bet after a win, typical. start with a bankroll big enough to allow, say, 6...
  8. lothariorowe

    How would this betting strategy not work

    Why are there continued betting discussions when it's scientifically impossible to win in the long run? I slaved away days and nights scribbling math formulas in hope of creating a long term fail proof system - but that only lasted as long as I thought there was hope. Once hope is removed from...
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