1-5 spread

[San]

Hi,

In order to avoid heat, I'm thinking the following betting strategy,

Using Hi-Low
TC +1 above, 50 dollars
TC +1 under, 10 dollars
in other words, only two bets, either 10 or 50. As it's a small casino, it's kind of strange to leave the table when the count goes negative so I have to play it all the way.

The rules are 6D, DAS, DOA, about 80% pen., RSA (up to 4 hands), Late Surrender, S17

I'd appreciate if anyone could help me to check the plan, to see if it's profitable or I need to make my spread larger. Thanks.

 

[Dyepaintball12]

Hi,

In order to avoid heat, I'm thinking the following betting strategy,

Using Hi-Low
TC +1 above, 50 dollars
TC +1 under, 10 dollars
in other words, only two bets, either 10 or 50. As it's a small casino, it's kind of strange to leave the table when the count goes negative so I have to play it all the way.

The rules are 6D, DAS, DOA, about 80% pen., RSA (up to 4 hands), Late Surrender, S17

I'd appreciate if anyone could help me to check the plan, to see if it's profitable or I need to make my spread larger. Thanks.

That is a good game, but it may look a little weird ONLY betting $10 or $50.

 

[Thunder]

I don't think you have to worry about heat with only a 1-5 spread. It's profitable but just barely.

 

[San]

The game is pretty good and before the casino is was full of CCs. However, as far as I know, they had kicked out about 30 CCs in last 2 months. I personally witnessed once when they asked 5 CCs to leave the table. I don't want to draw any heat that's why I need to keep my spread as small as possible while making some money.

 

[BJgenius007]

The game is pretty good and before the casino is was full of CCs. However, as far as I know, they had kicked out about 30 CCs in last 2 months. I personally witnessed once when they asked 5 CCs to leave the table. I don't want to draw any heat that's why I need to keep my spread as small as possible while making some money.

I wonder why you choose 5 to 1 spread. Did you see the casino asking people spreading 6 to 1 to leave?

 

[San]

I wonder why you choose 5 to 1 spread. Did you see the casino asking people spreading 6 to 1 to leave?

No reason. I just don't think there would be any heat at all to spread 5 to 1. 10 to 1 is safe, I guess, but I don't want to take any risk. I know some one who spread 15 to 1 was asked to leave.

 

[Midwestern]

if i was going to have a binomial bet ramp,
id bet 10 under +2
and 80 at anything +2 or over

that way, you achieve what you would normally bet in a normal bet ramp, and only bet your high bet in absolutely positive ev situations.

 

[duanedibley]

TC +1 above, 50 dollars
TC +1 under, 10 dollars

I would strongly advise against such a strategy. Your variance will go through the roof compared to a normal bet ramp targeting the same win rate.

 

[tthree]

Ditto

I was about to post on your variance. I dont feel my understanding of variance is nearly as strong as I need it to be but that approach screamed variance problems. If your bankroll is an issue you definitely want to keep variance to a minimum.

Its probably a good idea to minimize variance anyway, unless you are playing more for entertainment and the large swings give you the thrill you are looking for.

 

[FLASH1296]

Thunder is correct. Your bet ramp is weak.

I suggest the following, if using Hi-Lo.

Bet 2 units off the top and with all counts from −1 to +1

Drop to 1 unit if below −1

Bet 4 units from +2 to +4

Bet 8 units from + 3 to +5

THIS is the kind of simple ramp you are looking for.

An 8-1 spread is anemic but this much better than what you have proposed.