Basic Strategy Index play on high counts

[icetrey]

Ok, Using Hi-Low
I know Basic Strategy is to be followed %100 unless playing an index play. I understand that Basic Strategy is Mathematically important but…..

A high count means more high cards are left in the deck. A low count means more low cards are left. SO why would you want to hit a 15 vs a dealers 7 up card on a high count (+10 or more). I KNOW the probability of a ten is high (17) but the probability of getting a 10 is high for me as well , (25 busting). I have heard “die trying” but…..

Why not stay and hope (I know ?hope?) for a dealer bust?

At what high count would you try this? (+5 hell no). But +20?????

Thank you for your answers.

 

[johndoe]

Because you're more likely to win by hitting than by standing. It's a crappy hand either way, but by hitting your odds are better.

I don't think any positive count would ever justify standing 15v7. Maybe eventually you'd surrender it if the count were absurdly high. But this is so rare it's not worth worrying about.

 

[ycming]

hmm 15 v 7, stand at tc +10..

 

[Renzey]

Why would you want to hit a 15 vs a dealers 7 up card on a high count (+10 or more). Why not stay and hope (I know ?hope?) for a dealer bust? At what high count would you try this? (+5 hell no). But +20?????

Both Stanford Wong's and Julian Braun's index numbers for standing with 15 vs. 7 using the Hi/Lo Count are +10 true.

 

[johndoe]

I stand corrected!

 

[QFIT]

From CVData: