Ok, so I went on qfit's website and checked out their gazillion calculators and either was confused about an absence of a required field (for example, a chance of win calculator without a bet spread entry field... wouldn't that matter?) or I wouldn't have the information needed, usually the SD, which I understand is the square root of the variance and, from what I understand, is calculated -after- a sim, but at the beginning of some calculator/sim-lookin' things, it asks for info I don't yet have, info that I'd get from one of these progs/sims, and so on...
What I want to know is, if I play a single deck pitch (duh) where the HE is around .47% and the penetration is roughly 38 cards played of the deck before reshuffle, what would my EV be with a bet spread:
TC:
1: $10
2: $10
3: $20
4: $30
5: $40
6: $50
My spread might be a little off (not exactly Kelly), so help with that is more than welcome. That is, if my plan sucks but a subtle change here or there would make a difference, throw me a friggin bone here. What I really want is to be a little more self-sufficient and to be able to figure these things out on my own, but I hit a bump so I figured this is a good time to get help.
Gothic
What I want to know is, if I play a single deck pitch (duh) where the HE is around .47% and the penetration is roughly 38 cards played of the deck before reshuffle, what would my EV be with a bet spread:
TC:
1: $10
2: $10
3: $20
4: $30
5: $40
6: $50
My spread might be a little off (not exactly Kelly), so help with that is more than welcome. That is, if my plan sucks but a subtle change here or there would make a difference, throw me a friggin bone here. What I really want is to be a little more self-sufficient and to be able to figure these things out on my own, but I hit a bump so I figured this is a good time to get help.
Gothic
Bone: