Winrate question

[Thunder]

Can anyone tell me what my win rate/100 hands in units should be under the following conditions

6 decks S17 das doa, nrsa 75% penetration (AC rules)
Hi-lo with ill 18
Only played hands where TC was >= +1
Utilized a spread of 1-2 units where 1 unit was bet on TC= +1 or +2, 2 units on +3 or greater.

Also is it better to utilize a bigger spread on a lower limit table or a smaller spread on a higher limit table as ilustrated above?

TIA

 

[1357111317]

You should read the original post first itakeyourmoney. He said that he would only play hands when the TC is greater than +1. I would probably suggest keeping the max bet the same and decreasing the min bet w hich makes it a bigger spread. However if reducing your minimum bet reduces the quality of the games that you can play then maybe a 1-2 would be better.

Your winrate will be roughly 1 unit/100 hands with the 1-2

If you divided your unit by 5 and kept the max bet the same ( a 1-10) your ROR goes way down and your winrate goes down to 3units of the decreased unit or 3/5units of the bigger unit.

 

[callipygian]

Your winrate will be roughly 1 unit/100 hands with the 1-2.

This.

 

[1357111317]

Sorry, I had two hands being played. Divide both those numbers by two for the winrate. However the RoR for a 200 unit bankroll is less than 10% so you could have a fairly big unit.

 

[stophon]

Your variance must be through the roof