Recent content by Mersenne Twister

  1. M

    The insurance puzzle

    How about 2-man-team at same table?
  2. M

    The insurance puzzle

    My interest in that insurance counting system is, simulation result of using 2 counting systems, that is, (in shoe game), high BC system (Hi-Lo, EBJ2, Wong Halves...) for betting and playing, and that insurance count system for determining insurance buying amount. Someone can sim?
  3. M

    The insurance puzzle

    I found this somewhere. "true counted" unbalanced insurance count, IRC(initial running count) = -4*(number of decks) count tag for non-tens are +1 count tag for tens are -2 when 6 deck, total 312 cards. C : number of cards dealt N: number of non-ten cards dealt T: number of ten cards...
  4. M

    Kelly-betting for FX trading

    I found a trading strategy. I found an amateur trading strategy of FX. I don’t know very much about conventional terms of FX. But, let me explain. This linked chart is JPY:GBP, JPY:EUR. You see, in JPY base, GBP and EUR has strong correlation. So, my idea is, by comparing GBP and EUR...
  5. M

    "Arithmetic Average" or "Quadratic Average" ?

    Norm, I have had one question for long time, I just wanted to know what is the background statistical theory of using "quadratic average bet" for a calculation in this page.
  6. M

    "Arithmetic Average" or "Quadratic Average" ?

    I would like to hear opinions of expert statisticians. For example, average betting amount per 1 round should be "Arithmetic Average" or "Quadratic Average" ? Why?
  7. M

    Risk of Ruin

    sorry for my bad English For the purpose of usefulness and practicality, I did some amateur calculations as below. Sorry for my bad English. Largest negative fluctuation of win-rate minus A times SD (1), (2) Perhaps, there may be mistake, I don't know. or perhaps just nonsense.
  8. M

    Risk of Ruin

    Looking for a simple definition of ROR? >Looking for a simple definition of ROR? In my amateur understanding, definition of ROR is probability that bankroll hits zero in unlimited number of rounds. when starting bankroll is X, and a < X < b, first, thinking Prob=probability that...
  9. M

    Wong Insurance 10 Count

    "true counted" unbalanced insurance count, IRC(initial running count)=-4*(number of decks) count tag for non-tens are +1 count tag for tens are -2 when 6 deck, total 312 cards. C : number of cards dealt N: number of non-ten cards dealt T: number of ten cards dealt number of cards in...
  10. M

    Kelly vs ROR math

    "Chance of losing half with continuous resizing" is 0.78125% for 1/4 Kelly 0.1953125% for 1/5 Kelly
  11. M

    Kelly vs ROR math

    To predict the magnitude of fluctuation, I recommend this book, “An introduction to stochastic modeling Third Edition ” by Samuel Karlin, Howard M. Taylor It's better than Don's BJA3.
  12. M

    How to run SBA as fast as possible

    I am considering to build system below, Pentium 4 661 Windows 98SE SSD instead of HDD 512MB RAM Large CPU cooler for overclocking any good idea ? SBA runs in OS/2 Warp 4?
  13. M

    SBA on (KNOPPIX 6.4.4 in USB Flash Drive + Wine)???

    GPGPU is suitable for high-speed Monte Carlo simulation? I don't know very much about computer. I would like to hear specialists' opinions.
  14. M

    SBA on (KNOPPIX 6.4.4 in USB Flash Drive + Wine)???

    Install Windows 98 SE onto a Flash Drive I am a big fan of SBA(Statistical Blackjack Analyzer). My PC is Intel core i7 and Win 7 64-bit. My recent finding was, SBA runs significantly faster with (VMware Player + Win98SE) than with (VMware Player + WinXP). I feel, about 10 times faster on...
  15. M

    SBA on (KNOPPIX 6.4.4 in USB Flash Drive + Wine)???

    I was using SBA with (VMware Player + WinXP) on Win7 64 bit. I found, SBA runs faster with (VMware Player + Win98SE) than with (VMware Player + WinXP).
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