This hurts you as you will spend time finding another game and playing through more marginal/negative expectation hands to find another positive count. You have to remember that when you have a 2% edge that means that you can expect to win 51 and lose 49 out of every 100 bets you place (a little oversimplified, but serves for the purpose). This doesn't depend on which table you are sitting at. This is just what the wins and losses will average out to in the long run. So if they clump together this is perfectly normal and completely unpredictiable.
Hold on one second dood!!!
If we are talking about sd or DD and you have lost several games ..(not just a few hands like some people here claim i am saying) we know for a fact that you have stacked up several losses. I am not talking about getting up in the middle of the shoe, i am talking about the end of 4th DD shoe you have just lost yet you had the positive count yet again. (some people forget that dealers do win a significant number of shoes even with a positive count. They assume that a positive count automatically equates to a win for the bettor. These same people must be baffled when they see the dealer seem to make blackjack hands when the count is ridiculously positive)
At the point your butt leaves the cushion of the seat, there only one thing that is fact ie...You have lost money at this table even when you were supposed to have the advantage. Or one can say that this dealer is on a cold streak. The streak may or may not continue with the next shoe. But the fact is for now, this particular dealer is taking more money than they are paying out. I have said before, this is a matter of fact, it happens to every dealer. If you are willing to chance it that the cold streak ends on the next shoe then you may do so.
But if a player prefers not to chance that, then no one on this board has any proof, be it scientific,mathematical or otherwise that his player is making a wrong move by relocating...
The count at this point in time is exactly 0. Your odds are exactly the same at any other table that you may choose to play at in place of the table you are at at this very moment. You can choose to stay and play through another shoe, your odds are the same. You can choose to get up and find another dealer
There is absolutely nothing you lose by moving to another table, outside of the time it takes to physically transfer your body from one place to another!
Time in a casino is 100% replaceable. Money lost is not!!!
No. If they sample enough shoes they will find another positive shoe. But that takes time and as your winnings in blackjack are base on how many hands you can play with an advantage in how short a space of time, this will reduce how much you can expect to earn per hour. Even in SD/DD games, there in no way to guarentee walking straight into another +ve count. In fact as you mentioned earlier, with the no mid-shoe entry rule you are walking away from an advantageous situation to guarentee that the next hand you play will be at a disadvantage.
I have said this before and i will say this again. You are walking away at the end of several shoes where you have lost with positive counts. I did not say you are walking away in the middle of the shoe.. (thank you but please refrain from formulating arguments for me.)
You are walking away at the end of a losing shoe. NOt at the beginning not at in the middle, But at the end of the shoe when the dealer is shuffling the cards to start a new round!
Thats what i am talking about. At you yourself know that at this point in time there is really no advantage you are walking away from.
Matter of fact you are walking away from what has been a disadvantageous position historically. (as in you have lost money in successive shoes even with positive counts)
I hope that helps clarify the position i have been harping on the last few days and still people dont seem to be able to get it.