Dumbest thing I've heard said at the table

rogue1

Well-Known Member
the 2

According to Avery Cardoza when the dealers' upcard is a 2 he will get a hand of 18 or better slightly more than 50% of the time.
 

ihate17

Well-Known Member
Ya gotta have some fun

Kasi said:
Excellent Camo and it cost u nothing! LOL
Call it camo, call it part of my act, but in truth I just like to have fun at the tables. I joke with pits and dealers all the time. One thing I like to do when I have lost several hands in a row is put 50 cents in the betting circle and ask the dealer if she thinks this is overbetting.

ihate17
 

ihate17

Well-Known Member
about equal to the dealers 9, I guess

rogue1 said:
According to Avery Cardoza when the dealers' upcard is a 2 he will get a hand of 18 or better slightly more than 50% of the time.
Since a dealer 10 will result in a hand of 18 or higher over 50% of the time, my guess is that a 2 is about the equivilant of a 9. So should I announce in the future that the 2 is the dealer's 9 or is it still really the dealer's2?

ihate17
 

Jeff Dubya

Well-Known Member
Preston said:
But I honestly do feel that there is no "always" in gambling... no matter what you play.
Yes, but there's also a difference in "gambling" and "playing" right???

When I follow bs 100% and do not vary my bets, then I am playing.

But if I put down a one time bet of $1000, draw 17 against a dealer 10 and hit it because "my gut tells me to." then I am gambling. And stupid.

Sure, there is a ton of luck involved with blackjack. But I personally believe the more basic strategy, advanced strategy plays and learning to count makes it less of a gamble every single hand...

Maybe thats just splitting hairs. But that's how I feel. HAHA "that's what my gut tells me."
 

Mimosine

Well-Known Member
ihate17 said:
Since a dealer 10 will result in a hand of 18 or higher over 50% of the time, my guess is that a 2 is about the equivilant of a 9. So should I announce in the future that the 2 is the dealer's 9 or is it still really the dealer's2?

ihate17
people who say the whole dealer's 2 bit, i'm going to start asking them what the dealer's 8 is? etc... because inquiring minds.....
 

ihate17

Well-Known Member
It is all really about splitting hairs

manray said:
Yes, but there's also a difference in "gambling" and "playing" right???

When I follow bs 100% and do not vary my bets, then I am playing.

But if I put down a one time bet of $1000, draw 17 against a dealer 10 and hit it because "my gut tells me to." then I am gambling. And stupid.

Sure, there is a ton of luck involved with blackjack. But I personally believe the more basic strategy, advanced strategy plays and learning to count makes it less of a gamble every single hand...

Maybe thats just splitting hairs. But that's how I feel. HAHA "that's what my gut tells me."
By playing one hand or one million hands correctly, you are increasing your chance of winning more in certain situations and losing less in other situations. Some times the percentage change is very very small but playing right is always right and if you do happen to have played a million hands the difference can be very large.

ihate17
 

sagefr0g

Well-Known Member
ihate17 said:
..... Some times the percentage change is very very small but playing right is always right and if you do happen to have played a million hands the difference can be very large.

ihate17
somehow that makes sense to me but i'm not sure why. can you explain how it would be that having played a 'large' number of hands makes for a small percentage being transformed into a large percentage. or am i just totally misunderstanding your point?
 

SPX

Well-Known Member
Sonny said:
Not splitting 8,8 vs. 10 will cost you -0.06% while 8,8 vs. 9 will cost a whopping -0.12%. The combined conditional effect of these two mistakes is about -0.2%. That's more money down the drain...

-Sonny-

It's silly to act as of the BS player can't win money. I once hand dealt 5000 hands (took me a month), dealt out to 4 different "players", and ran a betting analysis and after I was done, with all players flat betting 3 were ahead and only one was behind.

Now you'll say that 5000 hands isn't much, but for the average player who gets away to the casino twice a month, that's a lot.
 

Kasi

Well-Known Member
SPX said:
It's silly to act as of the BS player can't win money. I once hand dealt 5000 hands (took me a month), dealt out to 4 different "players", and ran a betting analysis and after I was done, with all players flat betting 3 were ahead and only one was behind. .
To your point, one can expect to be ahead about 40% of the time after 5000 hands of flat-betting BS.
 

SPX

Well-Known Member
Kasi said:
To your point, one can expect to be ahead about 40% of the time after 5000 hands of flat-betting BS.
1) Really for the average player, it's about sitting at the right table at the right time. This is were luck enters the game. Perhaps the three out of my four players were just lucky. But it proves it can happen.

2) How the hell did this thread get to be this long?
 

Canceler

Well-Known Member
sagefr0g said:
somehow that makes sense to me but i'm not sure why. can you explain how it would be that having played a 'large' number of hands makes for a small percentage being transformed into a large percentage. or am i just totally misunderstanding your point?
I think he's saying that over time a small percentage will translate to a large number of dollars.
 

sagefr0g

Well-Known Member
Canceler said:
I think he's saying that over time a small percentage will translate to a large number of dollars.
right, i was probably putting words in his mouth :joker: ....
i get easily confused on statistical matters and probability. then there is that tricky part about independent trials as opposed to dependent trials and the fact that a given number of decks has a normal TC distribution over time. then for me the gamblers fallacy seems to be a normal way of percieving things.
so yeah i think it is the ev for a given hand at some true count is the same but overtime like you say the dollars build since we win money by proper betting along with the fact that we get more sucessful double downs, blackjacks and insurance bets in positive counts.
geesh :rolleyes:
 

ihate17

Well-Known Member
Not what I was really saying

sagefr0g said:
somehow that makes sense to me but i'm not sure why. can you explain how it would be that having played a 'large' number of hands makes for a small percentage being transformed into a large percentage. or am i just totally misunderstanding your point?
My fault, I should have been clearer. The small percentage gain, remains a small percentage but if you have put millions of dollars into action, that small percentage gain results in a lot of money in your pocket.
Just take the guy who plays basic strategy on games that have a house edge of .5% over a while who has put a million dollars into play. He should have lost $5,000 over this period. Compare him to the typical blackjack player who is playing at a disadvantage of about 2%, he should have lost $20,000. Playing correctly leaves him with $15,000 more than the other guy.

Hope I have been clear here. Think it is nothing new to you though.

ihate17
 
Back to dumb stuff people say...

Last night an older man sat down and immediately started making fun of the people at the table who weren't playing basic strategy. Not to their face, but just quietly to me because I was sitting beside him. After about 15 hands or so he was dealt A-7 against a dealer 6, and stood. After he stood, this was the conversation that took place:

Hotroddy: Really? I thought you played basic strategy?
Oldman: I do, but A-7 isn't a hit against a 6.
Hr: No, it's a double against a 6 actually.
Om: No way, never. Besides, basic strategy doesn't work.
Hr: Well you're going to lose money either way, you're just going to lose a lot less money in the long run if you actually play basic strategy.
Om: Nope, I guarantee you will win money if you don't play basic strategy. Basic strategy doesn't work in this game anyways because the dealer only has one card. Besides, if basic strategy works so well, why isn't the guy who invented it playing blackjack? Because it doesn't work.

At this point I let out a little chuckle, agreed with everything he said from then on, watched him double 3-4's against K's, split 10's against 4's, and watched him leave up $1100 after an hour betting $50. The funny thing is, seeing as positive variance was with him, he'll think he's right.
 

ihate17

Well-Known Member
I may have a job for you

Hotroddy

When I am playing and I can see the dealers hole card almost all the time, I can often use someone like yourself to throw my voodoo comments out and then do things like double 9 against a dealer 10 because I know he has a 6 in the hole and so one.
I say a lot of dumb things at these times, play like a maniac and then hit the road.

ihate17

hotroddy said:
Back to dumb stuff people say...

Last night an older man sat down and immediately started making fun of the people at the table who weren't playing basic strategy. Not to their face, but just quietly to me because I was sitting beside him. After about 15 hands or so he was dealt A-7 against a dealer 6, and stood. After he stood, this was the conversation that took place:

Hotroddy: Really? I thought you played basic strategy?
Oldman: I do, but A-7 isn't a hit against a 6.
Hr: No, it's a double against a 6 actually.
Om: No way, never. Besides, basic strategy doesn't work.
Hr: Well you're going to lose money either way, you're just going to lose a lot less money in the long run if you actually play basic strategy.
Om: Nope, I guarantee you will win money if you don't play basic strategy. Basic strategy doesn't work in this game anyways because the dealer only has one card. Besides, if basic strategy works so well, why isn't the guy who invented it playing blackjack? Because it doesn't work.

At this point I let out a little chuckle, agreed with everything he said from then on, watched him double 3-4's against K's, split 10's against 4's, and watched him leave up $1100 after an hour betting $50. The funny thing is, seeing as positive variance was with him, he'll think he's right.
 
ihate17 said:
Hotroddy

When I am playing and I can see the dealers hole card almost all the time, I can often use someone like yourself to throw my voodoo comments out and then do things like double 9 against a dealer 10 because I know he has a 6 in the hole and so one.
I say a lot of dumb things at these times, play like a maniac and then hit the road.

ihate17
That completely makes sense. However, he was doing things opposite of what the count warranted, and there was no hole card, so this guy wasn't nearly as smart as you, or an AP.
 
Preston said:
This really has nothing to do with strategy just an overall consensus...

What are some of the dumbest thing you hear either the ploppies or dealers say?

Some lines that I hear on a regular basis that put people on a brain function level comprable to Terri Shiavo:
Great thread but even better is the irony to post a thread about dumbness and not even get the spelling of Ms. Terri Schiavo correct. ;)
 
Guy to my right on why he hit his 17..."I had to hit you had 20."
Me: "Oh yeah, definitely."

He was 100% serious.

You figure it out

:laugh:
 
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