Giving it a rest
- Thread starter aslan
- Start date
well, aslan isn't only planning to flat bet per the OP.....
what i'm getting from the OP is he's seeking to lessen that roller-coaster ride. which is entirely possible, no? isn't the ride all relative for some given unit and spread and isn't it possible with a lower spread to squelch the noise even more, fine tuning to the point where one is break even or just above all the while maintaining a 'reasonable' risk of ruin?
and like any investment positioning, according to utility theory one shoe doesn't fit all, ie. there is an element of subjectivity allowed for. long run and 'blowing up' one's bankroll has different connotations for various age groups and financial status positions.
just me maybe, ultimately the common ground EV-wise would be realization of the value desired (ie. what are yah gonna do with the money anyway?) while experiencing 'negative capacitance'. perhaps the game can be unbearably boring but it is not with out it's priceless drama, a drama that can only be subjectively valued.
http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showpost.php?p=195154&postcount=24
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_capability
Keats...
"I mean Negative Capability, that is when man is capable of being in uncertainties, Mysteries, doubts without any irritable reaching after fact & reason."
anyway, like CP said: http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showpost.php?p=227256&postcount=20
as an aside, one of the plus ev experiences gleaned from the bj bash's for a guy of my ilk is picking up on just a wee bit of the mathematical wizardry and intense roller-coaster rides experiences such as i imagine you perform.
what i'm getting from the OP is he's seeking to lessen that roller-coaster ride. which is entirely possible, no? isn't the ride all relative for some given unit and spread and isn't it possible with a lower spread to squelch the noise even more, fine tuning to the point where one is break even or just above all the while maintaining a 'reasonable' risk of ruin?
and like any investment positioning, according to utility theory one shoe doesn't fit all, ie. there is an element of subjectivity allowed for. long run and 'blowing up' one's bankroll has different connotations for various age groups and financial status positions.
just me maybe, ultimately the common ground EV-wise would be realization of the value desired (ie. what are yah gonna do with the money anyway?) while experiencing 'negative capacitance'. perhaps the game can be unbearably boring but it is not with out it's priceless drama, a drama that can only be subjectively valued.
http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showpost.php?p=195154&postcount=24
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_capability
Keats...
"I mean Negative Capability, that is when man is capable of being in uncertainties, Mysteries, doubts without any irritable reaching after fact & reason."
anyway, like CP said: http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showpost.php?p=227256&postcount=20
as an aside, one of the plus ev experiences gleaned from the bj bash's for a guy of my ilk is picking up on just a wee bit of the mathematical wizardry and intense roller-coaster rides experiences such as i imagine you perform.
Aslan, I'm right there with you. The swings are so up and down and after doing other AP techniques I don't even really find CC'ing BJ interesting anymore. I also am tired of the constant struggle to avoid Heat.
I recently started playing a BJ-variant that is far more interesting to play and I am getting more into HC'ing which I find much more enjoyable.
I recently started playing a BJ-variant that is far more interesting to play and I am getting more into HC'ing which I find much more enjoyable.
Straight
At the BJ BASH one of the guests will be speaking of his experiences with straight counting in a very good game and I will admit it may open some eyes as to what can be done. I know this player to have skillz, but is using straight counting and his story is of great importance,,, IMHO.
The sooner you hear what this AP has to say the better, again,,IMHO.
Of course there will be others there into a wide range of AP player that will prove a real benefit to hear speak.
For those of you attending please try to make the private greet and eat that first night so you can be involved in these discussions.
CP
At the BJ BASH one of the guests will be speaking of his experiences with straight counting in a very good game and I will admit it may open some eyes as to what can be done. I know this player to have skillz, but is using straight counting and his story is of great importance,,, IMHO.
The sooner you hear what this AP has to say the better, again,,IMHO.
Of course there will be others there into a wide range of AP player that will prove a real benefit to hear speak.
For those of you attending please try to make the private greet and eat that first night so you can be involved in these discussions.
CP
I will tell you a story to make you feel better because misery likes company.
This morning I lost 75% of my max bets, which is very unusually high. It is a DD game which I won 9 of my last 10 trips and the dealer claims it is the most popular (and best) game in the east coast.
Anyway, after losing 5 straight max bet in the last 30 minutes, an opportunity approached. Dealer has dealt 1.25 decks and I have only seen 2 aces, so the remaining 0.75 deck is super ace rich. The running count is +14. That transforms to +19 TC. To recoup all my losses, I bet 16 units. (My max bet for this game was 8 units.) I got 20. (Joy!) All other 6 players got 13, 14 or 15. (Feel sad for my fellow APs.) The dealer's upcard was an Ace (Sad! Really Sad!!) Dealer asked if anyone wanted to buy Insurance. Are you nuts? TC was +19. I spent another 8 units to buy insurance. The other 3 APs also did it as well.
It is not a TEN. "F*ck!" One AP couldn't contain himself and cursed after losing 12 units on this hand. All other six players (it is a full table) chose to hit even I wanted to scream to some of them, "Surrender! Surrender! Surrender is the correct play for most of the index plays." Oddly enough, all six of them got a face card to bust their hands eventually, after some of them got an ace first. The running count was down to +2. TC was now only +4.
Dealer turned his down card over. It was another ace. Then slowly he drew another card. It is a ten. Now I am happy. There is 84% of the chance I will won this hand, 8% to tie, only 8% to lose if the next card is a nine.
Dealer drew another card. It was nine.
This morning I lost 75% of my max bets, which is very unusually high. It is a DD game which I won 9 of my last 10 trips and the dealer claims it is the most popular (and best) game in the east coast.
Anyway, after losing 5 straight max bet in the last 30 minutes, an opportunity approached. Dealer has dealt 1.25 decks and I have only seen 2 aces, so the remaining 0.75 deck is super ace rich. The running count is +14. That transforms to +19 TC. To recoup all my losses, I bet 16 units. (My max bet for this game was 8 units.) I got 20. (Joy!) All other 6 players got 13, 14 or 15. (Feel sad for my fellow APs.) The dealer's upcard was an Ace (Sad! Really Sad!!) Dealer asked if anyone wanted to buy Insurance. Are you nuts? TC was +19. I spent another 8 units to buy insurance. The other 3 APs also did it as well.
It is not a TEN. "F*ck!" One AP couldn't contain himself and cursed after losing 12 units on this hand. All other six players (it is a full table) chose to hit even I wanted to scream to some of them, "Surrender! Surrender! Surrender is the correct play for most of the index plays." Oddly enough, all six of them got a face card to bust their hands eventually, after some of them got an ace first. The running count was down to +2. TC was now only +4.
Dealer turned his down card over. It was another ace. Then slowly he drew another card. It is a ten. Now I am happy. There is 84% of the chance I will won this hand, 8% to tie, only 8% to lose if the next card is a nine.
Dealer drew another card. It was nine.
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Hey, I feel your pain, and such things often happen several times in a row.
Of course it happens the other way around, too. My buddy was just in AC. He's dealt a stiff, the dealer an Ace. My buddy hits, and makes a hand. The dealer doesn't have blackjack, and ultimately, the dealer busted. Next hand, same thing. Player gets a stiff and dealer gets an Ace. Same thing happens. Player makes a hand hitting his stiff and the dealer busts his ace hand. This, he claims, occurred four times in a row. Four times the dealer got an ace, and four times he busted. And all four times, the player hit a stiff and made a hand. What are the odds on that!?
Of course it happens the other way around, too. My buddy was just in AC. He's dealt a stiff, the dealer an Ace. My buddy hits, and makes a hand. The dealer doesn't have blackjack, and ultimately, the dealer busted. Next hand, same thing. Player gets a stiff and dealer gets an Ace. Same thing happens. Player makes a hand hitting his stiff and the dealer busts his ace hand. This, he claims, occurred four times in a row. Four times the dealer got an ace, and four times he busted. And all four times, the player hit a stiff and made a hand. What are the odds on that!?
Aslan sorry to hear the roller coaster ride is getting to you, as others mentioned a break from anything you do all the time is never a bad thing.
Having said that there are ways to smooth out the roller coaster ride. I feel I need to take a break because I've been winning consistently too much at my local casinos Good problem to have.
Having said that there are ways to smooth out the roller coaster ride. I feel I need to take a break because I've been winning consistently too much at my local casinos
Good problem to have.