luck
- Thread starter sagefr0g
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What’s Luck Got to Do with
It?
Using Quantum Mechanics to Alter the
Crapshoot of Life
By Fred Alan Wolf, Ph.D.
Ever wonder how lucky or unlucky you are? Or do you think that whatever success or failure you’ve had had nothing to do with luck at all?
Well, if the quantum world has anything to do with it, not a single moment has passed without Lady Luck looking over your shoulder as
you attempt to draw to that inside straight called the game of life. But if we live in a quantum world, there is a way to beat Lady Luck at
her game. All you need to do is look vigilantly and carefully at the world—and take action with that same care and vigilance......
http://www.fredalanwolf.com/myarticles/NWT article.pdf
It?
Using Quantum Mechanics to Alter the
Crapshoot of Life
By Fred Alan Wolf, Ph.D.
Ever wonder how lucky or unlucky you are? Or do you think that whatever success or failure you’ve had had nothing to do with luck at all?
Well, if the quantum world has anything to do with it, not a single moment has passed without Lady Luck looking over your shoulder as
you attempt to draw to that inside straight called the game of life. But if we live in a quantum world, there is a way to beat Lady Luck at
her game. All you need to do is look vigilantly and carefully at the world—and take action with that same care and vigilance......
http://www.fredalanwolf.com/myarticles/NWT article.pdf
yeah well, i dunno. this part kind of bothers me:
"Intent refers to the action of vigilant observation along a specific path. It matters little what you hope for or even what you passively
expect will happen. You need to actively pursue your vision in order to manifest your intent in the physical world, not passively dream
about it or simply hope it will come true."
it's to me like setting a goal. yeah ok, maybe it will happen, but what's it gonna cost?
:whip:
"Intent refers to the action of vigilant observation along a specific path. It matters little what you hope for or even what you passively
expect will happen. You need to actively pursue your vision in order to manifest your intent in the physical world, not passively dream
about it or simply hope it will come true."
it's to me like setting a goal. yeah ok, maybe it will happen, but what's it gonna cost?
:whip:
sagefr0g said:
the kid in the blue by the steps lobs the ball....... drops an eighty footer.
luck or skill?
(Dead link: http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/player/popup/?rn=3906861&cl=11976441&ch=4226726&src=news)
luck or skill?
(Dead link: http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/player/popup/?rn=3906861&cl=11976441&ch=4226726&src=news)
RingyDingy said:
I'm thinking new acronym:
"SOLAS" = S#*t Out of Luck And Skills
"SOLAS" = S#*t Out of Luck And Skills
here's another lucky shot
this ones a 90 footer, lol
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oHy7...hot-ch?urn=nba,147300&feature=player_embedded
this ones a 90 footer, lol
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oHy7...hot-ch?urn=nba,147300&feature=player_embedded
Attachments
a blast from the past
just some stuff i was reading for what it's worth, street smarts sort of stuff i keep believing in... rang a bell with this post, lol.
from: http://www.webcitation.org/5QyE4rhbN
".... However, a growing number of behavioral scientists in a variety of disciplines now embrace a similar perspective, often called bounded rationality. Here, bounded refers to inherent limits on rational thought, depending on the organism and its environment. Decision strategies that hinge on mere bits of well-chosen information about one's surroundings pack a surprisingly powerful wallop, especially when time and knowledge are in short supply, according to the bounded-rationality view.
In fact, new evidence suggests that for choosing one's actions in many real-world contexts, these bare-bones tactics work at least as well as complex statistical formulas that consider voluminous data. Studies also suggest that simple strategies wring insight out of shifting environments with much greater ease than fancy probability equations do.....
............. Gigerenzer's group focuses on what it calls "fast and frugal" formulas for decision making. These guidelines not only work with limited knowledge about the task and environment at hand but actually benefit from partial ignorance........."
just some stuff i was reading for what it's worth, street smarts sort of stuff i keep believing in... rang a bell with this post, lol.
from: http://www.webcitation.org/5QyE4rhbN
".... However, a growing number of behavioral scientists in a variety of disciplines now embrace a similar perspective, often called bounded rationality. Here, bounded refers to inherent limits on rational thought, depending on the organism and its environment. Decision strategies that hinge on mere bits of well-chosen information about one's surroundings pack a surprisingly powerful wallop, especially when time and knowledge are in short supply, according to the bounded-rationality view.
In fact, new evidence suggests that for choosing one's actions in many real-world contexts, these bare-bones tactics work at least as well as complex statistical formulas that consider voluminous data. Studies also suggest that simple strategies wring insight out of shifting environments with much greater ease than fancy probability equations do.....
............. Gigerenzer's group focuses on what it calls "fast and frugal" formulas for decision making. These guidelines not only work with limited knowledge about the task and environment at hand but actually benefit from partial ignorance........."
A proverbial saying about luck
Hey Froggie, thanks for this fun thread, which must be kept alive--- Here is
a proverbial saying about Luck: It gotta run out eventually. How true it is, especially for OJ, Madoff and Rothstein.
OJ
:cry:
Madoff's the convicted & jailed Ponzi-Schemer
:cry:
Rothstein's charged by the Fed as another Ponzi-Schemer
:cry:
Hey Froggie, thanks for this fun thread, which must be kept alive--- Here is
a proverbial saying about Luck: It gotta run out eventually. How true it is, especially for OJ, Madoff and Rothstein.
OJ
:cry:
Madoff's the convicted & jailed Ponzi-Schemer
:cry:
Rothstein's charged by the Fed as another Ponzi-Schemer
:cry:
yeah, just me maybe but keeping tabs on luck is a cool thing.
far as AP stuff goes, i think maybe the idea is, well short term anything can happen sort of thing but if there is an edge or bias for some process along with consistency over time then that edge or bias will make it's self known while the two sided nature of luck will sort of cancel out.
what's interesting to me and it's probably just a figment of my own ignorance of the issue, but anyway it's interesting how as AP's we deal with probability and that element of uncertainty that exists in the short term. i dunno it's like we have this known stuff, some expectation but it's unknown what's really gonna happen in the short term, but we can know some range of results and the degree of likelihood of that range of results presenting in the short term, sort of thing.
so i guess we kind of know something about the unknown in the short term, lmao.
confirmation bias i guess it's called is a tricky, funny thing, that said it's been an interesting experience for me for what appears so often, say your trying some AP move and well maybe you got it right, and maybe not but how pleasing it is that luck or skill the result comes out what you was hoping for.:cat:
far as AP stuff goes, i think maybe the idea is, well short term anything can happen sort of thing but if there is an edge or bias for some process along with consistency over time then that edge or bias will make it's self known while the two sided nature of luck will sort of cancel out.
what's interesting to me and it's probably just a figment of my own ignorance of the issue, but anyway it's interesting how as AP's we deal with probability and that element of uncertainty that exists in the short term. i dunno it's like we have this known stuff, some expectation but it's unknown what's really gonna happen in the short term, but we can know some range of results and the degree of likelihood of that range of results presenting in the short term, sort of thing.
so i guess we kind of know something about the unknown in the short term, lmao.
confirmation bias i guess it's called is a tricky, funny thing, that said it's been an interesting experience for me for what appears so often, say your trying some AP move and well maybe you got it right, and maybe not but how pleasing it is that luck or skill the result comes out what you was hoping for.:cat:
Black swans hide in plain sight.
Interesting, too, that there is no certainty even in the long run. Yes, simulations of billions of trials show convincingly that things will work out in the long run; however, every human being's long run is hostage to his actual lifetime. Every so often, and don't ask me how often, someone will have no chance of reaching the long run, at least, not in their lifetime, which in practical terms might just as well be eternity. lol But take heart. By the same token, some people should be able to reach the long run day in and day out, I mean to say, never experiencing even one more run of short term negative variance for the rest of their lives. There are an infinite number of black swans, but unfortunately, our lives are too short to find many or any of them because of how far apart they are typically dispersed. lol Luck is after all simply luck! And nothing has to even out in any one person's lifetime. Another cliche, yet true--> Life is not fair. :sad:
The secret to luck is to always have your heart set on what you are about to get. In that way they can never be disappointed, and must always achieve your dreams and goals. Maybe that is why the saints' prayer is, "Not my will, but Thy will be done." With an attitude like that, you can't lose----ever! The secret to happiness? lol You be the judge. I suspect if you have even the slightest taste for a little bit of gold you will not embrace this secret path to happiness. Fact is, you may flee it with all your might. lol Maybe if you're lucky you will return to find what you have always been looking for all your life and which was right under your nose all the time.
Interesting, too, that there is no certainty even in the long run. Yes, simulations of billions of trials show convincingly that things will work out in the long run; however, every human being's long run is hostage to his actual lifetime. Every so often, and don't ask me how often, someone will have no chance of reaching the long run, at least, not in their lifetime, which in practical terms might just as well be eternity. lol But take heart. By the same token, some people should be able to reach the long run day in and day out, I mean to say, never experiencing even one more run of short term negative variance for the rest of their lives. There are an infinite number of black swans, but unfortunately, our lives are too short to find many or any of them because of how far apart they are typically dispersed. lol Luck is after all simply luck! And nothing has to even out in any one person's lifetime. Another cliche, yet true--> Life is not fair. :sad:
The secret to luck is to always have your heart set on what you are about to get. In that way they can never be disappointed, and must always achieve your dreams and goals. Maybe that is why the saints' prayer is, "Not my will, but Thy will be done." With an attitude like that, you can't lose----ever! The secret to happiness? lol You be the judge. I suspect if you have even the slightest taste for a little bit of gold you will not embrace this secret path to happiness. Fact is, you may flee it with all your might. lol Maybe if you're lucky you will return to find what you have always been looking for all your life and which was right under your nose all the time.
betting amounts
If I played a 1 to 25 limit table would that be a high enough limit to make a few dollars counting cards efficiently and also if i played 2 hands at those limits would that increase my potential profits? how does playing 2 hands affect the odds and such? how much could my potential profit be per hour>?
If I played a 1 to 25 limit table would that be a high enough limit to make a few dollars counting cards efficiently and also if i played 2 hands at those limits would that increase my potential profits? how does playing 2 hands affect the odds and such? how much could my potential profit be per hour>?