iCountNTrack said:
Your total action/hour will increase regardless on whether you increase your bets in the playzone or not. As we both agreed on, ST will enable you to identify more situations where you have an advantage than simple counting would.
The above simulation was for a 4 deck S17 Hi-Lo play all 1-15 bet spread. The first table with without shuffle tracking. Second is with ST using NRS (both positive and negative)
Notice how the total bets per hour went up by 30% with ST but so did the Standard Deviation for the same betting strategy, increasing your bets size would increase your risk of ruin if you are using the same bankroll. I have to run a simulation to be more sure
thanks for the sim. i think we are on the same page now what i meant for being able to increase bet size.
yes, i agree your standard deviation (SD) will go up, but so will your EV. the giant increase in SCORE (50% or so?) tells us that clearly the EV is outweighing the SD effects.
To further illustrate my point about being able to use bigger bets for the same risk, answer me these two questions (if you feel comfortable with this):
1. if you were to play-all, what would your unit size be in dollars?
2. if you were to wong in and out and only play at counts of TC 1 or higher, what would your unit size be in dollars?
I hope you agree that for any sized bankroll, your answer to #2 would be higher than that of #1 EVEN THOUGH your SD will go up as well. right?
now imagine that you are a good enough shuffle tracker to either cut ace/ten slugs into play or 4-5-6 card slugs out of play and somehow always achieve an off the top TC of 1 (using NRS or snyder method, shouldnt matter for off the top reasons). This is exactly the same as situation #2 above. In fact, depending on the shuffle, maybe you can achieve an average off the top TC higher than 1. In this case you would be able to put even more money on the table than you would be able to using just wonging in/out. im sure what i am saying is basic stuff, but that is all i meant by being able to increase your action at the table - you can increase your "base" unit in $ terms just same way as if you were a super aggressive wonger.
no sims needed for that, right? i like conceptual approaches before messing around with CVData to make sure i am getting what i expect out of the software :devil: