RJT said:
I would put a hell of a lot of faith in it. But that said, it's not really any different to any other system that other authors recommend, it's just more rigorus in it's training methods. Let's face it, this system is a tried and tested winner, that much warrents a certain amount of faith.
RJT said:
What i don't see however frog, is how you hope to obtain greater than optimum Kelly bankroll growth with your system.
RJT said:
I can see that you are wanting to cut out a lot of the work, but i really don't see you gaining any greater advantage and if you do gain an advantage at all it's going to be at the cost of heavy risk.
RJT.
RJT.
with respect to gaining a greater advantage, well right it probably wont. the approach should gain an advantage however for a player that 'knows' what they are doing. i know that it defies simulation overall. especially the part where i'm advocating using thought and intuition. frankly i consider my self a mediocre advantage player by your standards. a skill level that i don't believe i can improve upon by Blackjack Institute methods or any other expert methods that i've studied. frankly my mind is just not nimble enough to deal with it all in such a precise manner. i'm no spring chicken. i do have how ever what i consider to be a rich understanding of advantage play and a fairly crafty ability for thinking on my feet. this coupled with what has been a respectable amount of time employing strict advantage play counting methods is what i'm banking on with respect to my approach. if you looked at that link i inserted in my earlier post you'd know that i'm not currently going to be playing nearly as much blackjack in the near future as i have played in the past. with the lower blackjack playing schedule that i expect for the near future it's my belief that my chances of doing pretty well with this approach are fairly good.
for some antedoteal arguement here's a graph depicting the results of my experimentation. let me be honest and report that i've done some cheating when playing through these hands. i peeked at the true counts some to see how my estimations were holding up before wonging out and sometimes if the count was fairly positive i'd keep playing but only at minimum bet level.
this was for a six deck das nrsa s17 pen 1.5 decks game. nearly full table. one spot open for me to play two hands when i wanted
it's for 11,000 hands. 1:10 spread. unit=$5
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