my progressive betting system

beyondbj

Well-Known Member
#1
everytime when u lost 150 bets

then try to bet larger to win back 100 bets


if u play $1 flat bet and lost $150

then try to play $3 flat bet until u win back $300

dont try to rise your bet before u lost 150 bets (and sure u are doing perfect bs not play in a nonsense way)
 

blackjack avenger

Well-Known Member
#2
Progression Don't Work

Progressions don't work. Many on this site will tell you that your plan and progressions don't work. Progressions are so easy to use that if they worked casinos would be out of business.:joker::whip:

Number of posters who think your plan will not work.
1
 

sagefr0g

Well-Known Member
#4
beyondbj said:
everytime when u lost 150 bets

then try to bet larger to win back 100 bets


if u play $1 flat bet and lost $150

then try to play $3 flat bet until u win back $300

dont try to rise your bet before u lost 150 bets (and sure u are doing perfect bs not play in a nonsense way)
number of posters who think your plan will not work.
3:)
IMHO your limiting your luck factor :joker::whip: too much. you'd need to make over three standard deviations just to win back what you lost (ie. $150) much less end up with $300. :cry:

for the given game s17daslrs eight decks 7 players (note: i just chose some game out of thin air. if you was playing a pos ev single deck game things might be differant)
1st image is for $1 bets
2nd image is for $3 bets
3rd image show your probability of making $150 in three hundred hands (circa 3 hrs play) if your unit is three dollars. sorry, not sure but i think the probability would be the same if you played for ever. :eek:
 

Attachments

Canceler

Well-Known Member
#5
4

Raising my bet to $3 would only allow me to lose money faster. I’ve never understood how simply raising my bet would give me an advantage.

I’ve also never understood how taking a break, also known as quitting while ahead, would give me an advantage, but that’s a different deal.
 

GeorgeD

Well-Known Member
#6
Canceler said:
4

Raising my bet to $3 would only allow me to lose money faster. I’ve never understood how simply raising my bet would give me an advantage.
It's just chasing your losses. Chronic gambler behavior,


Canceler said:
4

I’ve also never understood how taking a break, also known as quitting while ahead, would give me an advantage, but that’s a different deal.
Then you can tell people you had a winning session. Just don't tell them about your losing session.
 

shadroch

Well-Known Member
#7
GeorgeD said:
It's just chasing your losses. Chronic gambler behavior,




Then you can tell people you had a winning session. Just don't tell them about your losing session.

There is something pyscological about hving a winning session.
 

sagefr0g

Well-Known Member
#8
Canceler said:
4

Raising my bet to $3 would only allow me to lose money faster. I’ve never understood how simply raising my bet would give me an advantage.
just voodoo but it's fun and interesting foolin with the idea:
http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showpost.php?p=96444&postcount=70
I’ve also never understood how taking a break, also known as quitting while ahead, would give me an advantage, but that’s a different deal.
no advantage really maybe the disadvantage of doin it can be mitigate some what by doin it lol: more voodoo :)
http://www.blackjackinfo.com/bb/showpost.php?p=96640&postcount=73
 

beyondbj

Well-Known Member
#9
from my experience and many players exp

they max lost is around 150

after i play 100000 hands , i only experience once lost 150 bets

so thats why my assumption is to raise bet after lost 150 bets

of coz dont choose game rule very large -EV , it will make u easier lose more or faster

gamble is gamble , just play it at a wiser way , actually most time u will play in flat bet min size only
 

Sonny

Well-Known Member
#10
beyondbj said:
after i play 100000 hands , i only experience once lost 150 bets

so thats why my assumption is to raise bet after lost 150 bets
So after 1,000 hours of play you only found one opportunity to raise your bet? You might as well flat bet the whole time. It is easier and you will lose less money. You would expect to raise your bet after every 30,000 hands. By that time, you have pretty much no chance of getting your money back by flat betting.

Still, it’s about as safe as a progression system can get. The only thing safer would be Bryce Carlson’s progression system: Start with 1 unit and decrease after any win, loss or push. Grosjean suggests starting at zero units, but we came here to gamble, right? :)

-Sonny-
 

Kasi

Well-Known Member
#12
Sonny said:
By that time, you have pretty much no chance of getting your money back by flat betting.
Heck - take $1800 and flat-bet $150 every 30000 hands or whatever. You'll win that $150 unit 90% of the time lmao.

Whatever lol.

Takes a long time just to lose 150 units.
 

aslan

Well-Known Member
#14
Canceler said:
4

I’ve also never understood how taking a break, also known as quitting while ahead, would give me an advantage, but that’s a different deal.
It doesn't, but I like ending a session with a win that is equal to or better than my expected advantage. That way I can start my next session as a new effort to reach the "long run." I agree with Shadroch, too, that it is psychologically good to end on a winning note. But I am no longer stubborn to the point of incurring a large loss trying to end with a win. I have found that a rested, fresh mind is more important to obtaining a win than sheer, obstinate determination.
 
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