Ev & SD for this spread?

S

squeeks

Well-Known Member
+1 2u
+2 4u
+3 6u
+4 10u
+5 or > 2*10u

Rules: 6d,DOA,DAS,split to 4 hands,No resplit Aces,No surrender, 4.5 of 6 dealt.

I don't know how to sim this. Any suggestions on a better spread are welcomed.
 
squeeks said:
+1 2u
+2 4u
+3 6u
+4 10u
+5 or > 2*10u

Rules: 6d,DOA,DAS,split to 4 hands,No resplit Aces,No surrender, 4.5 of 6 dealt.

I don't know how to sim this. Any suggestions on a better spread are welcomed.
Click to expand...

I don't have a sim to help you with this but, if anyone does, they will need to know stuff like what counting system are you using, are you using indexes, maybe how many players at the table, are you betting 1u at <+1, etc.

If you cared at all for some silly reason about risk of ruin, knowing how many units in your roll would be a useful thing.

Am I to assume you actually have a sim but just don't know how to use it? Or is it maybe more like you don't know how to sim this because you don't actually have one lol?

Generate some raw data from Powersim and we can help you from there.
Or, find a comparable game from BJA and we can go from there to give an idea.
 
3 players, hi-lo,I18, 1u=>=1

I don`t know how to do a sim and I don`t have one. Idon,t really have a set bankroll as I can keep adding to it. Could you also tell me the BR required to bring ror down to 2%? 1%? 5%?
 
Last edited:
<1 = 1u
+1 = 2u
+2 = 4u
+3 = 6u
+4 = 8u
>4 = 10u

EV=0.92
SD=32.54

1750 units ~ 5% RoR
2300 units ~ 2% RoR
2700 units ~ 1% RoR

But if you switch to this bet spread:

<1 = 1u
+1 = 2u
+2 = 5u
+3 = 10u
>3 = 2 x 10u

EV=2.56
SD=52.92

1650 units ~ 5% RoR
2200 units ~ 2% RoR
2500 units ~ 1% RoR

Doubling your max bet like that will more than double your profit for slightly less risk. Or, if you use the same spread but leave during negative counts:

<0 = $0
0 = 1u
+1 = 2u
+2 = 5u
>2 = 10u

EV=1.78
SD=39.18

1300 units ~ 5% RoR
1675 units ~ 2% RoR
2000 units ~ 1% RoR

You can earn much more with much less bankroll.

-Sonny-
 
Thanks Sonny! I`m liking the look of 2nd spread. When you say >3= 2 x 10u do you mean at a TC of 3.1 and greater?
 
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