Recent content by AC3SrW1LD

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    NOOB Questions

    Hmmmm right. Good catch. Heads up and leaving at TC<=-1 isn’t exactly incognito. 80% pen, DAS and Sr isn’t too uncommon. Maybe not in Vegas though.
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    NOOB Questions

    I ran a sim for fun: Hi-Lo; Sweet 16 and Fab 4 indicies and leaving at TC<=-1 Six deck, 80% pen, headsup, H17 DAS Sr 150 rounds/hr (higher than normal because headsup) $15 1-5 spread, max bet $75 at TC=4 Projects to win $30/hr with a RoR of 1.7% at a Bankroll of $10,000.
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    NOOB Questions

    Yeah, I also had a lot of revelations running simulations on CVCX, though most revelations were in the Bankroll/RoR department. Winning/losing doesn’t matter; they will just try and notice if you are varying your bet. Most casinos use RFID tracking devices in their chips to determine overall...
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    NOOB Questions

    Every casino is different. They will eventually notice your play. A nasty pit boss might back you off. Casinos don’t care about the money. They only try to back off card counters. If you lose $10,000 they can and will still back you off if they think you’re counting. Yes Also, if this is a...
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    NOOB Questions

    Someone else might sound off on my answers below but regardless here is some of my advice. Hope it helps. 1) No; after one session you would not be able to tell if you're playing a positive game 2) It doesn't matter how much you win or lose. If they notice it will be because of your style of...
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    Curious Stats Question

    Hi Don you may have misread #2 above. The assumption is not SD = 0 but SD > 0. Either way this is just a thought experiment that popped into my head and was wondering if there was any math that proved it otherwise (though, most math breaks down when you mention infinity). I think I heard from...
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    Curious Stats Question

    Hi all, I have a curious statistical question for ya'll. Theoretically speaking wouldn't the following be true: 1) if a game was exactly breakeven (Win/hr = $0.00) and had a std/hr > $0.00 then RoR = 100% given an infinite number of hours of play. but if #1 true then wouldn't #2 be true as...
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    Prolonged losing streak

    No way. I don't think anyone is that much of a loser to post a fake story and provide so much detail.
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    Prolonged losing streak

    Hey John, I'm curious. Are you saying the 1-3 spread is nice for avoiding heat and providing cover? That was my initial thought.
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    Illustrious 18 / Fab 4 (Hi / Lo System)

    At +3 and higher you would take insurance and then late surrender. At +2 you would not take insurance and then late surrender. At +1 and below you would not take insurance and then hit.
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    New Casino in Everett, MA?

    Yes it is. Tables are usually one player to a table and there are not many people playing. Though I've always wondered if you could try wonging in and play dumb and see if they stop you (you would look very suspicious backcounting at these tables since there's very little traffic and not many...
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    New Casino in Everett, MA?

    Yes, it is still open. On a weekend night you're likely to see many 3:2, 8-deck, H17, DAS, LSr $50 limit full games (3 players to a table; max 2 spots per player) with 75%-80% pen (dealer named Andre sometimes cuts pen to 85%) with maybe 2 or 3 $25 limit games with the same rules. They have no...
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