Recent content by Goodrodrich

  1. Goodrodrich

    Power Sim / Average Bet

    is correct ... can you help me on how to find the variance that PowerSim says?
  2. Goodrodrich

    20k hands played still losing

    15 @ TC 1, 30 @TC 2, 45@ TC 3, 60 @ TC 4 your bet spread is not correct for Hi Low you are absorbing a lot of variance by placing a very high bet on TC + 1 and TC + 2 It should be like that: TC: 0 Wong Out TC: +1 bet $ 5 TC: +2 bet $ 20 TC: +3 bet $ 40 TC: +4 bet $ 60 I recommend a bankroll...
  3. Goodrodrich

    20k hands played still losing

    How is your game: 1. Type of card count. 2. Bet spread. 3. Bankroll. 4. Rules for BJ's game. 5. Do you use situational game techniques or do you play strictly as the simulator says? For example, if you are on a TC + 5 and you lose 2, 4, or 5 consecutive big bets, do you keep betting until you...
  4. Goodrodrich

    Theoretical Advantage vs Real Advantage

    The short-term negative variance is important because the bad luck time can be 10,000 or 20,000 rounds and can fall by 1s, 2s or 3s (S = Standard Deviation) 10K or 20K rounds is equivalent to 1 to 3 months of play approximately playing 8 hours x 5 days x 4.3333 weeks in a 6D game with 75%...
  5. Goodrodrich

    Theoretical Advantage vs Real Advantage

    I have not written anything about cheating ... I have written about a way to analyze before placing a big bet of 24 units with a spread of (1, 3, 6, 15, 24)
  6. Goodrodrich

    Theoretical Advantage vs Real Advantage

    I think you are the type of player who plays as the simulator says and ends up eating a consecutive loss at TC +5 (negative streak) of 10 big bets, when that can be avoided
  7. Goodrodrich

    Negative slope vs Positive Variance

    Negative slope vs Positive Variance. Sometimes it is good to get out of the way and take an opportunity. Sometimes I do the following: When the TC is +5 and the current account begins to fall (Negative slope) I decide to keep my maximum bet of 24 units because I am winning more hands than I...
  8. Goodrodrich

    Theoretical Advantage vs Real Advantage

    Theoretical Advantage vs Real Advantage Hello everyone, I open this thread to share some dissuasive technique towards variance: In my case when I'm at a TC +1 and I go to a TC +5 for Zen Count: 1. I analyze why the sudden rise is due. 2. I analyze the last 7 rounds played (won vs lost.) 3...
  9. Goodrodrich

    Power Sim / Average Bet

    Is the page of Arnold Snyder
  10. Goodrodrich

    Power Sim / Average Bet

    Go to http://www.blackjackforumonline.com/content/TOClibrary.html
  11. Goodrodrich

    Power Sim / Average Bet

    Correct, multiply the frequency by the TC bet 《+1: $ 0, +2: $ 10, +3: $ 20, +4: $ 50, +5: $ 80 and the average bet is $ 4.93 according to the simulator. Be careful in real life the average bet is $ 30.08 when I multiply the frequency by the bet from TC +2 onwards. In conclusion, the expected...
  12. Goodrodrich

    Power Sim / Average Bet

    Power Sim / Average Bet Hello everyone, I have done a simulation of 10 billion hands with the following spread TC +2: $ 10 +3: $ 20 +4: $ 50 +5: $ 80 +6: thereafter $ 80 and the average bet is $ 4.93 .. why is it less than $ 10 ???
  13. Goodrodrich

    Riddle

    average lead is 0.75% per round TC ramp + 2 = 10 + 3 = 20 + 4 = 40 + 5 = 60 account type: Zen Count
  14. Goodrodrich

    Riddle

    Find the standard deviation of the mean profit... Variance per round in dollars: $211.90 Rounds played: 6,066 Average bet per round: $2.5
  15. Goodrodrich

    DRAGON OR TIGER

    Someone knows about the game Dragon or Tiger, 8 decks are used, the values of the cards are the same As=1, 2=2, 10=10, J=11, K=13, etc. The bet on dragon or tiger pays 1:1 you have to guess who will have the highest value card, only one card is given to the dragon and tiger, single draw pays...
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