Recent content by iCountNTrack

I am totally with you on this one. Strict no politics, personal attacks (settle your scores elsewhere) policies and would make things run as smooth as a BMW engine

First, I would like to thank Ken for running such a fine site. I would also like to thank him for entrusting me with moderating the boards. Also thanks for all the members who have helped me expand my knowledge about the "simple" game. For all people who would like to contact me in the future ...

I suggest using QFIT's forums at http://www.qfit.com/blackjackforum/index.php It uses the same software (vBulletin) which is much better than the one used at other blackjack forums.

If 200 mg of potassium cyanide is lethal, 100 mg is not a panacea. Thread locked

Yes it is more probable to lose one hand in a row than to lose 50 hands in a row, but how is that useful to you, as you agree with me the probability of losing on the hand you are just about to play is not affected by previous results

The odds of winning or losing x hands in a row is a totally useless figure. I , 0.49^(x) is the probability of losing x hands in a row BEFORE any hand is played, meaning before we have any information, however AFTER we play the first x-1 hands and lose them, the probability of losing each of the...

Ah, I misunderstood the poster's point i thought he meant 11 vs 5 or 6, he meant 11 composed of a 5 and 6. Nevertheless, the odds will still be different because as i have mentioned they depend on BOTH the dealer upCard and the player hand. 11 vs 7 player's probabilities for standing p_-1 =...

Winning/pushing/losing frequencies are not too useful figures in a game like BJ because they are different payouts because of doubles, splits, double after splits, blackjack. So it is more useful if you get the probabilities of each possible round outcome. So for example for a game with only one...

It doesnt make a difference it is still diferrent see below: 11 vs 6 player's probabilities for standing p_-1 = 0.574852433669 p_0 = 0 p_+1= 0.425147566331 p_+1.5 = 0 EV for standing= -0.149704867338 ± 0.988730728103 ***************************** 16 vs 7 player's probabilities for...

I am sorry but this is not true, the odds are different 16 vs 6 player's probabilities for standing p_-1 = 0.589511449401 p_0 = 0 p_+1 = 0.410488550599 p_+1.5 = 0 EV for standing= -0.179022898802 ± 0.983844907343 *********************************************** 11 vs 5 player's probabilities...

There ya go, i only posted the single deck values and S17, but you can get them for any number of cards http://code.google.com/p/blackjack-combinatorial-analyzer/downloads/list ///////1 deck, S17////////// ******************************************** player's Hand 10,6 dealer's...

It is hard for me to imagine locking a thread in the theory and and math section.

The main problem is that as the penetration increases the number of possible shoe compositions dramatically increases. So I am not sure if one could significant trends with only 1000 shoes sim. I have played in the past with something similar but for 1deck game where I enumerate all the...

I ran a perfect play sim(2D 80 card pen, s17 DAS) using the same dll that KC using a Mersenne Twister RNG, I ran the sim for 500k shoes. EV was +0.759%