Recent content by JJcoolL830

  1. J

    This may be a dumb question...

    The casinos continue to have blackjack because for every 1 person that legitimately can generate an advantage for themselves by card counting there are 100,000 people who think they can but will fail.
  2. J

    Once in a lifetime hand?

    Probabilities I just got a hand in a single deck game that has to be near impossible: check this out: (d-diamonds, s-spades, c-clubs, h-hearts) My two upcards were the 4d, 5c I then hit to a 5h,2s, and then busted with a Kc the probability of that exact sequence happening is roughly...
  3. J

    Card counting

    favorable counts Think about the reverse logic... what if you have a very favorable count and even more low cards intially come out of the shoe so now you have an even more favorable count before your upcards are given to you. The idea is that before your hand is dealt, you have a...
  4. J

    "Buying" Doubles and Splits

    no buying doubles manray, I was wondering where you played at that wouldn't let you double down other player's hands. Also, how discrete were you about it... what I mean is, did you literally yell across the table that you wanted to double someone's 11 vs. a 6 or did you just ask the guy...
  5. J

    Doubling vs. Ace Up

    doubling vs. Ace The probability of the dealer busting when showing an ace after checking for blackjack is roughly 17%. This is much lower than any other up card the dealer might show. The reason for such a low percentage is the dual nature of the ace either being a 1 or 11, the dealer...
  6. J

    Your biggest win?`

    big win My biggest win was +$500 on the night. Not bad considering I usually just flat bet with an occasional jump to $15 if the true count of hi - lo jumps over +6. I usually play 6 decks, H17, DAS, resplitting of aces. A better question I would like to hear from the "pros" would be what...
  7. J

    Anyone from Washington State here?

    Chips Casino So I took the advice of a fellow member and visited Chips Casino in Lakewood. I was disappointed to find out that they weren't offering the match play coupons anymore because they "don't offer the VIP system anymore to regular customers." I thought that to be little strange, but...
  8. J

    one that works for me

    not for me Hmmm... more progession betting tactics. I went to the link at looked at his "stradegy" on how to make money and noticed that he uses a progression in which it takes 9 wins in a row to stop for the night. The problem with this is the probability of winning 9 in row is approximately...
  9. J

    Good article by Fred Renzey

    Renzey Article I really like the part about doubling down on other player's hands. I have only done this if I am playing with some of my buddies that don't have the best grasp of basic strategy. As far as doing this with strangers, I think I would have to initiate some sort of conversation with...
  10. J

    Anyone from Washington State here?

    places to play I hear that PJ Pockets Casino in King County has a decent double deck game. I know that the Great American Casino in Lakewood offers double deck for $25 minimum, double down on 9,10,11 only, no DAS, H17. I usually play their 6 deck game with favorable rules... see above. I...
  11. J

    A tad confused...

    Excuse me, I hit that 17 The same situation described happened to me while I was playing at a table with a grumpy fast dealer. Once I had a hard total above 17, he wouldn't even wait for my hand signal before he went to the next player. So I decided to have a little fun while the pit boss was...
  12. J

    Anyone from Washington State here?

    Thanks for the post I haven't really checked out Chip's Casino but I live in Puyallup so I think it might be worth the drive. I called them to ask what time is their happy hour and the guy said it is from 9am - noon and 9pm - midnight. He also confirmed about the suited blackjack and 6,7,8...
  13. J

    Playing two hands versus one?

    variance as you increase hands played Simple statistics state that as you increase your sample size (number of hands played) variance will decrease. I would expect to see more variance in playing one hand at $100 than two hands at $50. In other words, on average you will see less fluctuation in...
  14. J

    Research on Spanish 21?

    Counting for Spanish 21? I've been currently wondering if counting cards in Spanish 21 is useful? Since they remove the tens I was thinking about devising a sort of modified Hi-Lo and setting card values 3,4,5,6 as -1 and J,Q,K,A as +1. I'm wondering if positive counts create an advantage...
  15. J

    Research on Spanish 21?

    Native Americans I normally don't play at our local indian casino since their BJ game is so brutal (8 decks, H17, double on any 2 but no DAS... approximately a .87% casino edge :mad: ) but my friend is in town and loves the glitz and glamour of the monstrosity they have built, so I go with...
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