Recent content by stophon

If you could notice more than one sequence going through at the same time, I could see it being very possible. But by my count, a 3 riffle shuffle would contain 8 different sequences. That would suck to follow.

Even with unrealistically fine shuffles, the ace is never going to come out within one card of where it should consistently, unless your playing with something absurd like a single riffle.

If they use two riffles then you should be tracking it for aces.

I found it easier to assign a variable to number of hands. The program would play basic strategy and be allowed to split the hand unless it exceeded the number of hands allowed. I sympathize with you. It is a bitch to program splits.

I know its trivial, but you also have to subtract off the extra time it takes to complete the extra round. If your making 60 an hour and the extra round takes 1 minute then that just cost you a dollar.

Thanks. Pushes are good in blackjack when you have a losing hand. It's different in blackjack because when you push out of a bad hand the next hand is not likely to have a similar house advantage. Knowing this, I wonder if it changes how people would conventionally kelly bet blackjack. I...

Two games. First, player has 80% chance of winning and 20% chance of losing. Second, player has 95% chance of a tie, 4% chance of winning and 1% chance of losing. Is the kelly bet equal in both games?

I agree. Though 15v10 and 16v9 might also be affected.

Adding a round is helpful if and only if the count is high. It is in the player's best interest to place as many +EV bets as possible. That true count theorem is what tells us that if the count is high in the middle of the shoe, every bet made for the rest of the shoe has a positive expectation.

That is interesting. It would increase the value of saving a card.

Well the fluctuation in adding or subtracting a round is unimportant except in calculating risk averse indices. For the pure index calculation you just need the average rounds it will add. The dealer uses 2.9 cards on average each hand while the player uses 2.7. Therefore when playing heads...

I having trouble of thinking a good way to mathematically explain this, but I'm going to try. Let's say you take 20 less cards, during the shoe playing heads up. Of course this will add a few extra rounds to the shoe. The number of rounds relates linearly to the number of cards added...

I agree it has the potential to do either, but it will add a round much more often than it subtracts a round.

Why is one less card in the middle of shoe different than one less card at the end of the shoe? If your playing a shoe and the count jumps to TC +5, the TC should stay there for the rest of the shoe therefore your goal is to get as many rounds out of the shoe as possible. And if you take one...

To get the odds of a 3:2 blackjack game playing dealer strategy, you would calcuate Odds you bust * odds dealer bust + Odds blackjack * .5 Correct? I calculate a 5.427% house edge with this strategy. Edit: nevermind Ken already answered my question in an earlier post