Just read McDowell's "blackjack ace prediction" and I have a question on implementing it with 6 decks. It appears that not only must you key card the Ace but also use a little shuffle tracking or at least thats what the books seems to demonstrate. It goes about how to determine "weak" spots in the shuffle that clump together.
I was wondering if it was necessary to track the shuffle as well or if you could just key card several aces and not worry about where they are in the deck?
I have a couple reasons why i'm thinking it may be necessary to also track the relative position when playing 6 decks below but this wasn't discussed in the book so i'm just assuming. Any thoughts?
1. with 6 decks there are too many identical cards so knowing approximately when they come out saves you from betting on many "fake" key cards thus increasing accuracy enough to be +EV.
2. If a card does not fall into one of the "weak" shuffle zones then it is not likely to follow the average gap between the key card and the ace...so if in the weak zone with 2 riffles the ace is the 4th behind the key card but if it wasn't in the weak zone then with 2 riffles you really don't have an accurate estimate of how far it would follow the key card. Is this accurate?
I was wondering if it was necessary to track the shuffle as well or if you could just key card several aces and not worry about where they are in the deck?
I have a couple reasons why i'm thinking it may be necessary to also track the relative position when playing 6 decks below but this wasn't discussed in the book so i'm just assuming. Any thoughts?
1. with 6 decks there are too many identical cards so knowing approximately when they come out saves you from betting on many "fake" key cards thus increasing accuracy enough to be +EV.
2. If a card does not fall into one of the "weak" shuffle zones then it is not likely to follow the average gap between the key card and the ace...so if in the weak zone with 2 riffles the ace is the 4th behind the key card but if it wasn't in the weak zone then with 2 riffles you really don't have an accurate estimate of how far it would follow the key card. Is this accurate?