No big deal because you do have the right idea. But you are off by a decimal - like wagering $600/hr, maybe more technically speaking, playing against 60 dealer upcards/hr at $10, making perhaps more likely that one has wagered more like $660 than $600 by then in alot of typical DOA and DAS games, you'd expect to lose $3/hr not $30. So maybe one flat-bet every 3 hours or so.
Anyway, like you pointed out, due to variance, aka "luck", I believe one can lose alot more in one's mind due to completely expected "luck" than one thinks. It perhaps feels like they are possibly cheating at just one standard deviation. At 2 standard deviations, you are sure they actually are but maybe yet have still have some lingering doubt that after all "s*it happens". At 3 SD's, the doubt in your mind is likely completely gone. Yet, that wouldn't actually be true by a long shot.
So, to the original poster, that's about the way, more or less, it worked for me, emotionally vs mathematically, anyway. Emotionally, I was insane. Mathematically, I was comforted. Sort of.
It's a funny thing
Anyway, like you pointed out, due to variance, aka "luck", I believe one can lose alot more in one's mind due to completely expected "luck" than one thinks. It perhaps feels like they are possibly cheating at just one standard deviation. At 2 standard deviations, you are sure they actually are but maybe yet have still have some lingering doubt that after all "s*it happens". At 3 SD's, the doubt in your mind is likely completely gone. Yet, that wouldn't actually be true by a long shot.
So, to the original poster, that's about the way, more or less, it worked for me, emotionally vs mathematically, anyway. Emotionally, I was insane. Mathematically, I was comforted. Sort of.
It's a funny thing
