Anyone Depth-Charge?

[Sonny]

I was re-reading Blackbelt in BJ lastnight. I was wonderring if anyone had any experience with Arnie's mothod of Depth-Charging with an "outfielder" (a player who counts all of the other player's cards and signals their count to a third-base player). Although this wouldn't change your betting strategy, your playing strategy would be altered after knowing all of the cards on the table.

He estimates advantages of between 1.4%-1.9% in a LV Strip SD game with 2 rounds dealt to a full table, but of course he doesn't say that you will find them enywhere on the LV Strip.

Anyone ever tried anything like this? Any comments?

-Sonny-

 

[Rob McGarvey]

I actually use this principle in sports betting. In SOME finite series where the two teams are equally matched I will depth charge into the underdog until she bites. Made a lot of money doing that last year, and a lot of enemies by being so bold about my confidence in my bets.

 

[The Mayor]

Not the same

You are just playing a progression system, Rob, and not a smart one at that. I believe your scheme for betting goes something like "The underdog will eventually win, so I'll just bet more each time until that happens, then make my my money back and then some." I hope you realize the flaw in this. Unless you are playing a system based around +EV bets, independent of other bets, you are playing a losing system.

As for depth-charging, I've never done it, but it seems much stronger than I would have thought intuitively.

-Mayor

 

[Rob McGarvey]

Re: Not the same

The egde is in the handicapping. Two teams go head to head in the play-offs. If you watched Detroit get taken out by the 8th seed you would understand the intensity. You put two teams together that are an even match and give 20-50 cents on the dollar for one of them that bet has an advantage. It is like doubling up after a loss when the count is giving you a 10-20% edge. Oh, that never happens in blackjack does it? smile With an edge like that and proper use of bankroll you have to be able to see how depth charging into a finite series is using Arnie's principle to its maximum benefit. Does it always work in BJ? Doubt it. Does it always work in sports? Doubt it, but I do get to pick chose and refuse by doing my own match ups and increasing the odds of winning more, more often than not, against depth charging a single deck game. You are depth charging into a possible 1% edge.