The Seminoles are dangling a very large carrot in front of the state to the tune of quite a few million dollars and creation of jobs upon completion of new hotels and expanded facilities, so I don't think it will be so easy to completely count them out. One deal that was proposed a while ago was for the Seminoles to get increased gambling (roulette, craps), while allowing pari-mutuels to have banked card games, but needless to say, that didn't go anywhere. It's a shame because, as was pointed out, the blackjack monopoly doesn't do the players and favors.
Governer Crist was about the strongest ally that the Seminoles had in regards to gambling, and now that he's on his way out, it's hardly a priority for him. In my opinion, it'll all going to boil down to how much money the state can get from blackjack and how far they can get the Seminoles to compromise.
Side note: Hard Rock just changed their games to H17, except for the HL room (typically $100-500min), which is now no mid-shoe entry. Maybe they're afraid of being shut down and want to milk every last penny from their blackjack tables. Classy!