biggamejames said:
I have asked a question similar to in another thread and didnt like the answers i got.
That explains your defensiveness. You can't always just take heed of the answers you do like. You have to take the good with the bad if you are going to be realistic.
biggamejames said:
Call it voodoo, call it lalala land, but there are studies that have been done that show that gamblers in the the right "mental state" win more. If a dealer has taken you out of your comfort zone mentally, you are bound to make mistakes. Being comfortable mentally is just as important as being comfortable physically.
Did the gambler's right "mental state" cause him to win or did winning cause the gambler to enter the right "mental state"? That's the rub.
If a dealer has taken you out of your comfort zone then you need to be mentally tougher. If that's not possible then blackjack may not be the right game for you. That is what separates wanna-be's from actual counters, can you keep playing even though you are getting beaten badly?
biggamejames said:
At that one point in time that dealer is
a dealer to be avoided if identified.
What if you leave this table with the "hot dealer" and go to another table but the "hot dealer" from the first table now comes to your new table? Do you leave? Is it the cards or the dealer?
If I am still within my budget for the day I would stay at this table with the + count even if I am losing. You never know when you will start winning. It could be the next hand you left.
biggamejames said:
They are too busy quoting mathematical formulars that ultimately indicate that you have absolutely nothing to lose by changing tables in that you will find pretty much the very same circumstances at another table.
Actually your statement is contradictory to what people have been saying on this board. The general consensus is that you will lose "something" by switching tables and that "something" is the statistical advantage you have by playing at a table with a + count. You would lose that statistical advantage by leaving even if you are losing big-time.
You may not find "pretty much the very same circumstances at another table". Tables, as you know, vary in their conditions. "Will" indicates absolute certainty. That is the great unknown. Sure you can find positive shoes at another table. A positive shoe could happen and eventually will but it may not happen WHILE YOU ARE AT THAT TABLE.
But James, in his great haste, has failed to mention that he nor anyone can 100% guarantee that you will find another shoe that night that is positive, that you will find conditions as favorable as the ones you just left. And no one can guarantee that you won't either, we are not mind-readers. I can't guarantee that things will change and you will start winning, James can't guarantee that you keep losing either. But the statisticaly edge lies with the shoe with the positive count.
Going into a table which one would you rather play on? A table where you know you have a 1.5 advantage over the house or at a table where the advantage/disadvantage is ?. That is one thing I can guarantee, that if a counter who stays at a table with a + count they would know they are playing with an advantage while if they switch table they wouldn't know anything about the current conditions.
Your new table may turn positive right off the bat, it may not turn positive for another hour. James can't guarantee that you will immediately find an advantage like the table you left. It might be better than the shoe you just left, it might be ten times worse. No one knows and that's part of the counters dilema, when to change tables, when to quit for the day, when to cash out, etc..
In the meantime, while playing and waiting for the table to turn positive, you were possibly playing at a disadvantage while the table you left definitely had an advantage, statiscally speaking of course, even though you lost your shirt.
In the end, it's your money, James is right on with that one. Play how you want but know that a good counter with vast blackjack experience and knowledge, wouldn't leave a positive shoe very often.