covering fluctuations
- Thread starter andrew999
- Start date
Andrew999, I don't know a formula for it, but when I flat bet, I always tried to have 30 or 40u to play on for a day trip. Unless you sustain a heavy string of losses without corresponding wins, you can get by with 20u but that's cutting it pretty thin. Just remember the rule of thumb...player wins 42%, house wins 50% and you push 8%..or something like that.
Flat Bet question
Hoping someone that has more experience can answer this question. Suppose you normally use KO for your AP play. However you have a favorite casino that you normally stay and play in and will occasionally count for short periods (have not experienced heat), but also play some hours flat betting (different shifts) at basic strategy for the RFB. Can you lower the house advantage by keeping the count (never hurts to practice) and use the BS deviations while still flat betting. Thanks.
RebelRoller
Hoping someone that has more experience can answer this question. Suppose you normally use KO for your AP play. However you have a favorite casino that you normally stay and play in and will occasionally count for short periods (have not experienced heat), but also play some hours flat betting (different shifts) at basic strategy for the RFB. Can you lower the house advantage by keeping the count (never hurts to practice) and use the BS deviations while still flat betting. Thanks.
RebelRoller
Calculating range of probable range results (99 percent confidence) assuming 8deck H17, DAS, LS, RSA (~ -.49) playing around a 1000 hands with seven other players using CVCX.
-76.26 to 69.74 units
CVCX rocks.
Also, Rebelroller. Even if you do count and only bet flat, the house advantage stays the same.
-76.26 to 69.74 units
CVCX rocks.
Also, Rebelroller. Even if you do count and only bet flat, the house advantage stays the same.
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I don't think that counting is going to be of much use to you if you are not planning on ramping your bets. Granted, it will come in handy on the insurance side bet (take ins if +3 or greater). It might be of marginal benefit on the first three or four indices (mainly hard 16 hands) but not enough to justify the effort unless you just want the practice.
It has been stated here on the forum several times that casinos are not very worried about counters at the red-chip level. I've found that to be true.
It has been stated here on the forum several times that casinos are not very worried about counters at the red-chip level. I've found that to be true.
Thanks for the replies. I had figured on using the time in my home casino to get hours in for comps with basic strategy(once again I don't count there much, going to other casinos for that in LV, using the old axiom of not sh**ting where you eat). I was thinking that the insurance play, (which I have found particularly powerful) and a few of the other top deviations in these situations might be worth the effort and it doesn't hurt to practice the count and the deviations. Any lowering of the expected BS loss is icing on the cake.
RR
RR