Let's say you are almost at the end of a shoe. You know the cut card is coming soon. But the count is high and you want to play another round at that count. Perhaps if you have a 13v10, you should suck it up and not hit, in the hopes of playing another round. This seems like it could be profitable, but several things must be taken into account:
1. Other players after you and if they will hit (possibly getting the cut card)
2. The number of cards the dealer is going to be hitting to.
3. The EV of your hand. You wouldn't want to be stupid and stand on a 7v10, but if it was a 13v10 it might be worth it.
4. The presumable EV of the next round at the given count.
Thoughts? Is there a rule of thumb to use in this situation? Just common sense? I only ask because there are many times common sense might not give the correct mathematical answer in blackjack
1. Other players after you and if they will hit (possibly getting the cut card)
2. The number of cards the dealer is going to be hitting to.
3. The EV of your hand. You wouldn't want to be stupid and stand on a 7v10, but if it was a 13v10 it might be worth it.
4. The presumable EV of the next round at the given count.
Thoughts? Is there a rule of thumb to use in this situation? Just common sense? I only ask because there are many times common sense might not give the correct mathematical answer in blackjack