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- Thread starter Badbeat
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bjo32 said:
I agree with your comments and loved the article too. Thanks for posting it hithat16. This brings up another one of my pet peeves with APs. Instead of saying "good luck", they like to say "good variance" or something to that effect. I get what they mean but it's done to show their smarter than the average guy. I have a good AP friend and we always say "good luck" when we go to a casino. Skill is important but it also helps to have some luck too....or in mainstream AP lingo "positive variance". Lol.
I could also do it like Bob Dancer and say “Go out and hit lots of blackjacks and doubles. Good day.”
hitthat16 said:
I’m not a big fan of “good variance” but I don’t tend to say “good luck” either. I usually find myself saying “good cards” or something of the like.
I could also do it like Bob Dancer and say “Go out and hit lots of blackjacks and doubles. Good day.”
I could also do it like Bob Dancer and say “Go out and hit lots of blackjacks and doubles. Good day.”
I've always felt "good variance" was being a little too cute and smug. I guess it's not as bad as saying something like "may the standard deviation be with you." This actually isn't a bad idea for the AP Star Wars crowd. Lol
How this for a form of variance: clusterluck. Clusterluck is a term the analytics community has given us. It basically is about sequencing. For instance, two baseball teams have the same outcomes in one inning: a single, a double, and home run, 2 strikeouts and a popup. Team A scores 3 runs, Team B scores 1. The outcomes were identical, but the net result was completely different due to the sequencing of the events.
I had a losing session yesterday. But if I had a printout of every hand, I bet I won close to 50% of the hands. I probably got blackjacks close, or relatively close to 5% of the time. I won a number of double down and split hands. The problem? When I had my bigger wagers out, I lost the majority of them. The blackjacks were overwhelmingly in neutral or negative counts. High counts are great......as long as they eventually come down as the tens and aces come out. But when the cut card comes out and the count is still high? Not good.
I had a losing session yesterday. But if I had a printout of every hand, I bet I won close to 50% of the hands. I probably got blackjacks close, or relatively close to 5% of the time. I won a number of double down and split hands. The problem? When I had my bigger wagers out, I lost the majority of them. The blackjacks were overwhelmingly in neutral or negative counts. High counts are great......as long as they eventually come down as the tens and aces come out. But when the cut card comes out and the count is still high? Not good.
JJP said:
The blackjacks were overwhelmingly in neutral or negative counts.
JJP said:
High counts are great......as long as they eventually come down as the tens and aces come out. But when the cut card comes out and the count is still high? Not good.