Mister_No_Count
New Member
I am a new member and thought I would throw out some ideas on how to attain success at online blackjack. From the threads I’ve read on this forum, I estimate the common held view is that the online game cannot be beat over a protracted period. Anybody can win, but the risk of ruin rears its ugly head, and the ill-prepared, misinformed player cannot believe what has occurred and subsequently joins all the other lost souls who have tried and failed. I think the major mistake many players make is being inadequately prepared for the endeavor because they greatly underestimate how difficult it is to beat the game of blackjack due to the small house advantage that the game has. But what appears to be a small advantage for the casino turns out to be an insurmountable obstacle for most players to overcome when they engage in this past-time for any considerable length of time, this goes for both counters and non-counters.
The purpose of this post is not to teach you how to beat the game of online blackjack. Were I to know the answer to that equation, I would not tell you because the time and effort I would have spent discovering how to do this is not something to be given away. I would sell it, but not at a price you would be willing to pay. I might write about it, but why would I want to be responsible for the demise of the game? More importantly, if there was a successful method, it would be foolish to tell everyone how to do it since the casinos would not offer the game if they’re going to lose money on that proposition. Either that or they would make rule changes to make it impossible to win.
Rather, the purpose of this post is to postulate some ideas that have served me well thus far on how you can prepare yourself for this adventure before you commit some serious money, lose it, and become another blackjack victim. If you are a casual player, then it really doesn’t matter. You just want to have a good time, so learn basic strategy and pick up a copy of Donald Dahl’s book.
Rules of Success for the Serious Player
Learn Basic Strategy for the game you are going to play since there are variations to the strategy whether you play single deck or the eight deck shoe.
Create your system.
It is an established fact that all betting systems will fail over the long run. I placed the word “established” in italics because this pertains to all “known” betting systems. When subjected to computer simulations or actual use over a prolonged period of play, they break down along the way. But, these systems provide a starting point from which to learn and understand why they fail.
Test your system.
This is the most important aspect of winning because 99.99% of systems will break over an extended time frame. What constitutes an adequate testing period? My standard is a minimum of 15 days with an average win of 50 units per day. Be prepared to win for 5 or 6 days to see your system fall apart. But each time this occurs, analyze why it happened. Is your strategy completely flawed, does it require some adjustments, or should it be thrown out? After evaluation, test again, evaluate and test again, again, and again. Thought this was going to be easy? Sorry to disappoint you, but it is going to be very difficult and may take months, possibly years, and brace yourself because you may never succeed. But, if you do attain success, you will have somewhat tested the limits of your system, determined your bankroll requirement, and readied yourself for live game play.
When You Are Ready for Online Play
Save money until you have established an adequate bankroll for the system you are playing.
Play at a reputable site. This means do thorough research on the site’s integrity because when you win, you want to get paid. The online world is littered with players that were not paid by rogue operators simply because they did not take the time to find out about the reputation of the casino before depositing their hard earned money. A good place to start is the casino watchdog site Casinomeister.
During your research, find the sites that offer the lowest minimum bet. Why? Because you are at the second stage in your testing. This phase of testing is to engage in live play for 30 days and at the end of that period to be a winner providing you haven’t lost everything long before that. While you may be feeling confident that you’ve figured how to beat the game, it is too early to know and therefore, you do not want to risk a large amount of money until you’ve made it through this 30 day period. If you succeed, then you will be ready for stage 3. If you fail, which is the likely scenario, you need to stop online play and go back to the creation and testing phase.
At stage 3, you are ready to move to higher limits. However, it would be wise to maintain a cautious stance at this stage and not bet the farm. Never get over-confident because that is when you will be humbled. I would recommend a gradual rise in stakes for a two week period and another gradual rise from that point, and so on.
Casino Bonuses
I am not a proponent of using casino bonuses. On the plus side, I have read that many players claim they win at blackjack if they get a bonus. I’ll probably be criticized for this, but here are the reasons I would not take a bonus:
I have seen too many complaints from players that say they were not paid because the casino’s interpretation of the terms and conditions (T&C) are different than the player’s understanding of them. Also, the casinos will change the T&C without player knowledge and players learn after the fact they did not comply with the T&C.
If you are a winner and use a bonus, a casino could identify the player as
a bonus abuser and withhold their winnings and ban them from the site.
Many bonuses exclude the game of blackjack and if they do allow it, the wagering requirements (WR) are difficult to meet.
Some casinos look for ways not to pay you when you do satisfy the WR. For example, I have heard of winnings denied because the casino had problems with the size of the player’s bets, then identify them as an advantage player, and confiscate their winnings.
But one thing is for certain. When you are losing, not one single casino will ever, ever, ever say a word. When you are winning, some will look for a reason not to pay. Don’t give them one.
The purpose of this post is not to teach you how to beat the game of online blackjack. Were I to know the answer to that equation, I would not tell you because the time and effort I would have spent discovering how to do this is not something to be given away. I would sell it, but not at a price you would be willing to pay. I might write about it, but why would I want to be responsible for the demise of the game? More importantly, if there was a successful method, it would be foolish to tell everyone how to do it since the casinos would not offer the game if they’re going to lose money on that proposition. Either that or they would make rule changes to make it impossible to win.
Rather, the purpose of this post is to postulate some ideas that have served me well thus far on how you can prepare yourself for this adventure before you commit some serious money, lose it, and become another blackjack victim. If you are a casual player, then it really doesn’t matter. You just want to have a good time, so learn basic strategy and pick up a copy of Donald Dahl’s book.
Rules of Success for the Serious Player
Learn Basic Strategy for the game you are going to play since there are variations to the strategy whether you play single deck or the eight deck shoe.
Create your system.
It is an established fact that all betting systems will fail over the long run. I placed the word “established” in italics because this pertains to all “known” betting systems. When subjected to computer simulations or actual use over a prolonged period of play, they break down along the way. But, these systems provide a starting point from which to learn and understand why they fail.
Test your system.
This is the most important aspect of winning because 99.99% of systems will break over an extended time frame. What constitutes an adequate testing period? My standard is a minimum of 15 days with an average win of 50 units per day. Be prepared to win for 5 or 6 days to see your system fall apart. But each time this occurs, analyze why it happened. Is your strategy completely flawed, does it require some adjustments, or should it be thrown out? After evaluation, test again, evaluate and test again, again, and again. Thought this was going to be easy? Sorry to disappoint you, but it is going to be very difficult and may take months, possibly years, and brace yourself because you may never succeed. But, if you do attain success, you will have somewhat tested the limits of your system, determined your bankroll requirement, and readied yourself for live game play.
When You Are Ready for Online Play
Save money until you have established an adequate bankroll for the system you are playing.
Play at a reputable site. This means do thorough research on the site’s integrity because when you win, you want to get paid. The online world is littered with players that were not paid by rogue operators simply because they did not take the time to find out about the reputation of the casino before depositing their hard earned money. A good place to start is the casino watchdog site Casinomeister.
During your research, find the sites that offer the lowest minimum bet. Why? Because you are at the second stage in your testing. This phase of testing is to engage in live play for 30 days and at the end of that period to be a winner providing you haven’t lost everything long before that. While you may be feeling confident that you’ve figured how to beat the game, it is too early to know and therefore, you do not want to risk a large amount of money until you’ve made it through this 30 day period. If you succeed, then you will be ready for stage 3. If you fail, which is the likely scenario, you need to stop online play and go back to the creation and testing phase.
At stage 3, you are ready to move to higher limits. However, it would be wise to maintain a cautious stance at this stage and not bet the farm. Never get over-confident because that is when you will be humbled. I would recommend a gradual rise in stakes for a two week period and another gradual rise from that point, and so on.
Casino Bonuses
I am not a proponent of using casino bonuses. On the plus side, I have read that many players claim they win at blackjack if they get a bonus. I’ll probably be criticized for this, but here are the reasons I would not take a bonus:
I have seen too many complaints from players that say they were not paid because the casino’s interpretation of the terms and conditions (T&C) are different than the player’s understanding of them. Also, the casinos will change the T&C without player knowledge and players learn after the fact they did not comply with the T&C.
If you are a winner and use a bonus, a casino could identify the player as
a bonus abuser and withhold their winnings and ban them from the site.
Many bonuses exclude the game of blackjack and if they do allow it, the wagering requirements (WR) are difficult to meet.
Some casinos look for ways not to pay you when you do satisfy the WR. For example, I have heard of winnings denied because the casino had problems with the size of the player’s bets, then identify them as an advantage player, and confiscate their winnings.
But one thing is for certain. When you are losing, not one single casino will ever, ever, ever say a word. When you are winning, some will look for a reason not to pay. Don’t give them one.
