violentkun said:There will be 3 possible outcome.
* a push
* Walk away with $10
* Walk away with $15
His chance of getting a BlackJack is 30.769% (Assuming it has infinite decks).
You blackjack in 100 games. Each games u accepted even money:
100 X 10 = 1000
You backjack in 100 games. Each games u refused even money:
you win 69.23 games = 69.23 x 1.5 = 1038
the rest of the 30.77 games = Push.
violentkun said:Let's face it. Even money is not a good bet. Having said that, let me say that I think there is definatelly a few times to use it. In you example, you would be 38 dollars ahead making the same $10 bet. What if you have more money on the current hand than the 99 other hands? An even money bet with a $50 hand looks pretty good. Maybe enough to get you over the 'hump'. Also when you are on a losing streak at a table, there's nothing worse, than not getting paid on a blackjack. My biggest losing swing occurred when, I lost 2 hands in a row,with 20 and then pushed with a blackjack. From then on, things turned to shit. I am a card counter and when I raise my bet, I will usually take even money, with a lot of small cards on the table.
tedloc said:violentkun said:Let's face it. Even money is not a good bet. Having said that, let me say that I think there is definatelly a few times to use it. In you example, you would be 38 dollars ahead making the same $10 bet. What if you have more money on the current hand than the 99 other hands? An even money bet with a $50 hand looks pretty good. Maybe enough to get you over the 'hump'. Also when you are on a losing streak at a table, there's nothing worse, than not getting paid on a blackjack. My biggest losing swing occurred when, I lost 2 hands in a row,with 20 and then pushed with a blackjack. From then on, things turned to shit. I am a card counter and when I raise my bet, I will usually take even money, with a lot of small cards on the table.
It is still wrong to take even money. Even if you had $10,000 on the circle. You'll win a lot more than you push. By taking even money when the count dictates not to you're throwing away a lot of your edge you get from counting.
E-town-guy said:tedloc said:
It is still wrong to take even money. Even if you had $10,000 on the circle. You'll win a lot more than you push. By taking even money when the count dictates not to you're throwing away a lot of your edge you get from counting.
Dear E
According to VIOLETKUN'S math: You take even money on 100/$10 dollar hands and you win $1000. You don't take even money and you win $1038 on the 69.23 hands where dealer doesn't have BJ. All I said is, that if you increased your bet to $50 dollars on the last hand, it might not be a bad idea. (68.23 hands at $15= $1023+ $50 on last hand + $1073
Now, to my last point. I said I am a card counter, therefore when I raise my bet from $10 to $50 you know the count is high. So if the dealer is showing an Ace I usually take even money.
tedloc said:Now, to my last point. I said I am a card counter, therefore when I raise my bet from $10 to $50 you know the count is high. So if the dealer is showing an Ace I usually take even money.