violentkun said:There will be 3 possible outcome.
* a push
* Walk away with $10
* Walk away with $15
His chance of getting a BlackJack is 30.769% (Assuming it has infinite decks).
You blackjack in 100 games. Each games u accepted even money:
100 X 10 = 1000
You backjack in 100 games. Each games u refused even money:
you win 69.23 games = 69.23 x 1.5 = 1038
the rest of the 30.77 games = Push.
violentkun said:Let's face it. Even money is not a good bet. Having said that, let me say that I think there is definatelly a few times to use it. In you example, you would be 38 dollars ahead making the same $10 bet. What if you have more money on the current hand than the 99 other hands? An even money bet with a $50 hand looks pretty good. Maybe enough to get you over the 'hump'. Also when you are on a losing streak at a table, there's nothing worse, than not getting paid on a blackjack. My biggest losing swing occurred when, I lost 2 hands in a row,with 20 and then pushed with a blackjack. From then on, things turned to shit. I am a card counter and when I raise my bet, I will usually take even money, with a lot of small cards on the table.
tedloc said:It is still wrong to take even money. Even if you had $10,000 on the circle. You'll win a lot more than you push. By taking even money when the count dictates not to you're throwing away a lot of your edge you get from counting.violentkun said:Let's face it. Even money is not a good bet. Having said that, let me say that I think there is definatelly a few times to use it. In you example, you would be 38 dollars ahead making the same $10 bet. What if you have more money on the current hand than the 99 other hands? An even money bet with a $50 hand looks pretty good. Maybe enough to get you over the 'hump'. Also when you are on a losing streak at a table, there's nothing worse, than not getting paid on a blackjack. My biggest losing swing occurred when, I lost 2 hands in a row,with 20 and then pushed with a blackjack. From then on, things turned to shit. I am a card counter and when I raise my bet, I will usually take even money, with a lot of small cards on the table.
E-town-guy said:tedloc said:
It is still wrong to take even money. Even if you had $10,000 on the circle. You'll win a lot more than you push. By taking even money when the count dictates not to you're throwing away a lot of your edge you get from counting.
Dear E
According to VIOLETKUN'S math: You take even money on 100/$10 dollar hands and you win $1000. You don't take even money and you win $1038 on the 69.23 hands where dealer doesn't have BJ. All I said is, that if you increased your bet to $50 dollars on the last hand, it might not be a bad idea. (68.23 hands at $15= $1023+ $50 on last hand + $1073
Now, to my last point. I said I am a card counter, therefore when I raise my bet from $10 to $50 you know the count is high. So if the dealer is showing an Ace I usually take even money.
I don't know what your bet spread is so I don't know how high exactly the count is at $50. You sound very vague when you say "you know the count is high" and "usually take even money". Its important to not only know the count is high but to know at exactly what count to take even money or insurance, then, and only then, should you take it. Otherwise you're throwing away your advantage.tedloc said:Now, to my last point. I said I am a card counter, therefore when I raise my bet from $10 to $50 you know the count is high. So if the dealer is showing an Ace I usually take even money.