Sorry, but you have been seriously misinformed about this.snorky said:Using hi-lo,
I just recently discovered it's a hit unless the count is +4 or greater in SD instead of 0.
I guess this is wrong then, but I took its word for it.Sucker said:Sorry, but you have been seriously misinformed about this.![]()
on http://bj21.com/gamemaster/GameMasterClassics19.html,Sucker said:Definitely a typo.
So this is a 6 side count composition adjustment. what if you have T33 v T but you noticed 4 sixes have been played already? I have been adding these sorts of observations to my play. Just want everyone to get the most out of the lesson here.Automatic Monkey said:Keep your shirts on, everybody.
What you are looking at is a composition-dependent index for the play. As it turns out, the 6 acts as a high card, a very high card for the play 16 vs. 10. If the next card is a 6 it will bust you and you don't want a hit, and if the dealers hole card is a 6 the dealer is in trouble and you don't want a hit.
The 6 is so powerful a card in the 16 vs.10 decision that it can indeed throw the decision off in a SD game, especially in the High-Low count where you have already counted it is a low card when you have 10,6. If your hand was 6,6,4 the count to stand would be even higher.
We see the same effect with 14 vs. 10; with 10,4 you would definitely hit but with 7,7 you would stand, because your chances of getting your 21 have been so depleted you are better off letting the dealer go first. There is also a lower chance the dealer will make his hand with two 7's dealt out, and that is part of the decision too.
I wouldn't recommend using observations unless you are consciously counting them. You might remember all the 6's being dealt out but not remember all the 5's being dealt out too. Easy to be fooled by selective memory.tthree said:So this is a 6 side count composition adjustment. what if you have T33 v T but you noticed 4 sixes have been played already? I have been adding these sorts of observations to my play. Just want everyone to get the most out of the lesson here.
PS: The EOR of the 6 is 1.6446, the T is 1.151 and the 9 is 0.5524 All the other cards are negative EORs. The m for SD is -0.4459.
My observations are of the type, 6 eights on the first round makes it a good idea to side count eights on this shoe for a while to see if the imbalance continues.Automatic Monkey said:I wouldn't recommend using observations unless you are consciously counting them. You might remember all the 6's being dealt out but not remember all the 5's being dealt out too. Easy to be fooled by selective memory.
If you are really into that sort of thing, try or derive the Gordon Count. 2-5 is low, 10's are high, everything else is sidecounted.tthree said:My observations are of the type, 6 eights on the first round makes it a good idea to side count eights on this shoe for a while to see if the imbalance continues.