Is this a viable trip ?

#1
Ok, i wanna plan a trip, ill try and give all the data i can and i would realy apreciate it if some1 would rate my chances.

Its a european trip, so european rules: 6 decks ,stand soft 17, double anny 2 cards, double after split, splitting aces allowed, only 1 card on an ace, resplitting aces allowed, no hole card dealer wins all.

table min €5 , max €100. only 1-2 tables per casino so no wonging, but i will cell-phone fake and having a bad blatter. I will play High-low with a 1-8 spread.
-2 €5
-1 €5
0 €5
1 €10
2 €20
3 €40
4 €40
5+ whatever i get away with.
my bankroll is €4000

There are about 10 casino's in that area,and i wanna play about 80-100 hours over 8 days. cost of the trip will be €500-800. i had my own calculations, but those are most likely crap.

what would be my expected value(100 hands per hour) ? (for the length of the trip)
what would be my Risk of ruin ? (for the length of the trip)
What would be my standard deviation ? (for the length of the trip)
Is a more agresive spread recomended ? Cause they are most likely completely unaware of the phenomena card counters, and i would not realy care if i was kicked out.
 

callipygian

Well-Known Member
#2
Bullitje said:
Is a more agresive spread recomended ?
I don't know personally, but I suspect someone who does know will need this piece of information: are you playing at one casino, or many casinos? And if the answer is many casinos, how well-connected are these casinos (owned by the same parent company)?
 
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