First time poster here.
I'll just introduce myself a bit, I really started gambling 6 or 7 years ago when I like most "discovered" the martingale system. It was after watching roullete for a few moments when I realized I could beat the casino. Granted my first time trying it I lucked out and turned $75.00 into $1500.00 It's amazing how that happened the first time, and I don't think it ever happened since. For a long time after that I was suffering the gambler's fallacy, I would watch craps, roullete, baccarat for a series of something so I could bet against it. Like most I got burned.
Over the last few years I've really implemented Oscar's Grind. I keep records of the games I play, wins losses. Always with the intent of studying them later to see if I could've done something different. After a long 14 hour day at Baccarat 2 weeks ago, I lost my bankroll. Went home and went through the 16 shoes I tracked and realized at the end of the day, there were 120 bankers ahead of player. I kicked myself, why didn't I just flat bet. Hell even $5.00 would've turned into $600. Even after commission I still would've been up quite a bit. I went through some other records. Here is what I found.
I keep track of shoes, at the casino I play at they deal 8 deck in mini bac. One shoe is blue, the next is red. For no particular reason I mark down which color shoe that was dealt. The next day I went back and kept track of another 14 shoes. this time, there wasn't a significant amount of bankers. but when I split up the shoes, all the blue shoes had alot more bankers, and the red always favored player, they were consistent through the day. I knew that it was more than likely a fluke. but like the gambler I am, I went back the next day with a bank of $100. starting out betting $5.00, with a total of 20 units my goal was to make $100 and then flat bet with $10 until I was up to $300. everytime I made $100 I increased my flat bet $5.00. at the end of the session "12 hours" I had turned my $100.00 into $4,950.00.
I'm seriously stoked, for the last few days I haven't played much I've just watched the cards. I don't really follow trends, but I do notice that the shoes even after they are cut, and shuffled, tend to have the same ending results, I see them shift and eventually even turn towards the other side, is this a fluke? Does anyone else see it. My 12 hour day was long, but well worth it, I would like to go back in and start with $1000.00 and bet $50 a hand after observing a few shoes and seeing if they stay consistent.
any feedback would be greatly appreciated.
I'll just introduce myself a bit, I really started gambling 6 or 7 years ago when I like most "discovered" the martingale system. It was after watching roullete for a few moments when I realized I could beat the casino. Granted my first time trying it I lucked out and turned $75.00 into $1500.00 It's amazing how that happened the first time, and I don't think it ever happened since. For a long time after that I was suffering the gambler's fallacy, I would watch craps, roullete, baccarat for a series of something so I could bet against it. Like most I got burned.
Over the last few years I've really implemented Oscar's Grind. I keep records of the games I play, wins losses. Always with the intent of studying them later to see if I could've done something different. After a long 14 hour day at Baccarat 2 weeks ago, I lost my bankroll. Went home and went through the 16 shoes I tracked and realized at the end of the day, there were 120 bankers ahead of player. I kicked myself, why didn't I just flat bet. Hell even $5.00 would've turned into $600. Even after commission I still would've been up quite a bit. I went through some other records. Here is what I found.
I keep track of shoes, at the casino I play at they deal 8 deck in mini bac. One shoe is blue, the next is red. For no particular reason I mark down which color shoe that was dealt. The next day I went back and kept track of another 14 shoes. this time, there wasn't a significant amount of bankers. but when I split up the shoes, all the blue shoes had alot more bankers, and the red always favored player, they were consistent through the day. I knew that it was more than likely a fluke. but like the gambler I am, I went back the next day with a bank of $100. starting out betting $5.00, with a total of 20 units my goal was to make $100 and then flat bet with $10 until I was up to $300. everytime I made $100 I increased my flat bet $5.00. at the end of the session "12 hours" I had turned my $100.00 into $4,950.00.
I'm seriously stoked, for the last few days I haven't played much I've just watched the cards. I don't really follow trends, but I do notice that the shoes even after they are cut, and shuffled, tend to have the same ending results, I see them shift and eventually even turn towards the other side, is this a fluke? Does anyone else see it. My 12 hour day was long, but well worth it, I would like to go back in and start with $1000.00 and bet $50 a hand after observing a few shoes and seeing if they stay consistent.
any feedback would be greatly appreciated.