JohnCrover said:
Can we just take a second to appreciate the privilege here? Imagine being so lucky that you think running fat 1/3 of EV is bad luck.
I would give my left testicle to run at 1/3 EV for the rest of my life.
Look, I don't know what is going on here with you clowns (JohnClover, Jupitor/steve and others), hijacking every thread (and basically the entire forum) and challenging the math and many, many players throughout the community that have won and continue to win playing blackjack with a mathematical advantage?
YES there is variance, great variance and at time deep negative swings associated with card counting blackjack play. That is why a large bankroll is necessary and just as important a strong understanding of the math and the mental ability to handle these sometimes long losing periods. I have gone out of my way to share my journey, my experiences in it's entirety, including these swings. I have had 5 different 6 month periods of losing. That is roughly 40-50 thousand rounds!. This happens! Part of the game. You have to be prepared mentally as well as financially to handle these swings if you want to play seriously.
I think the problem is you guys are looking at very short-term results and drawing whatever conclusions from them, because I see numbers like 10,000 rounds, 20, 000 rounds being thrown around. Again, I have had 5 different losing periods lasting 40,000 to 50,000 rounds! I don't even want to guess how many 10,000 round losing periods I have had. You guys freaking out over this kind of a sample size, just proves you don't understand the basics principals of the game needed to succeed. I don't know how many times I can say, blackjack card counting is a long-term deal. Many, MANY hills and valleys.
So now you guys (and others) have taken to attacking not only me, but many other players, not only on this forum, but throughout the community that win and win by the math, including Mr. Schlesinger. How dare you! It is a wonder players like Don and others are so tolerant as to put up with this shit.
Again, I don't know what is going on with you handful of guys, whether on the far end of the bell curve experiencing real bad short-term results, or more likely, holes in your game, bad spreads and ramps, bad games and conditions, or mental things like chasing losses ect. BUT this is not a conspiracy against you as you are alleging. All the many counters on various forums that have had and continue to have success are not plants by the casinos. Give me a fucking break.
Again, I have no idea what you guys are doing, how solid your game is, but I am not going to apologize for winning and winning playing exactly by the math of the game.
addon: And yes, John Crover, playing a full year, I believe it was 87,000 rounds and ending up 1/3 of expectation is a bad year!