Kind of wild post but I like the math angle, need to brush up on some stuff but was wondering if this would be fairly easy to do. Make a little program that would generate say a billion sets of 6 deck shoes and have you play a set betting ramp and indices, create the outcome on a line graph.
You could then remove any chunk of playing time out of the graph and that could be you expected result for the next x hours.
Take that billion and expand it to approach infinity and you would have numerous black swan events and we have discussed.
Given a billion players to the billionth power I think it might be possible there would be a person that would play his entire life using good AP methods and still lose.
Some of these ideas may be good some bad, they are just curious ramblings.
You could then remove any chunk of playing time out of the graph and that could be you expected result for the next x hours.
Take that billion and expand it to approach infinity and you would have numerous black swan events and we have discussed.
Given a billion players to the billionth power I think it might be possible there would be a person that would play his entire life using good AP methods and still lose.
Some of these ideas may be good some bad, they are just curious ramblings.