reasonable bankroll

#1
I'm going to play a good 6d game (.75 pen, surr, das, s17) spreading 10-100 (50 @ +2TC and 100 @3)). I'll be doing a semi-wong, playing virtually no neg cts, and little or no cover. What's a reasonable bankroll, and how much $/hr win can I expect? Thanks again!
 

The Mayor

Well-Known Member
#2
More information than you want or need...

Code:
PROFESSIONAL BLACKJACK ANALYZER
<Version: PBA 4.3.7>

Results for file:  C:\PBA437\BARBIE_1.txt
January 9, 2005

The following rules were specified in the rules menu:
R>---------------------------------------------------
6- deck shoe
Insurance offered
Dealer stands on soft-17
With dealer blackjack, player...
     Loses one bet max
On ties, player pushes, except...
     Loses with 22-26
Resplit to make four hands
Resplit aces allowed
OK to split unlike 10s, like J-Q
Check hole card under 10, A
Double any hard total
Soft doubling allowed
surrender two cards
     late surrender against A
     initial hand only
After splitting...
Double any hard total
     Soft doubling allowed
     Double two cards only

Shufffle used was: Random Swaps
Dealt to 72 cards remaining.
R>--------------------------------------------------

The following counting system was used:
C>--------------------------------------------------
System name:  Hi-Lo

Count indices...
2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9    T    A
1    1    1    1    1    0    0    0    -1    -1

Minimum count for playing decisions:  -10
Maximum count for playing decisions:  20
C>--------------------------------------------------

B>---------------------------------------------------
The following betting system was used:
  KB_2

On count...       Bet...

  <= 0    $10.00
   =+0    $10.00
   =+1    $10.00
   =+2    $50.00
   =+3    $100.00
   =+4    $100.00
   =+5    $100.00
   =+6    $100.00
   =+7    $100.00
  >=+8    $100.00

Shuffle when count < -1
True count is running count per 1. deck(s)
B>---------------------------------------------------

The following simulation results were obtained:
S>---------------------------------------------------
Edge:    1.44
Standard error:    0.03
Sigma:   1.84
Desirability index (DI):   7.82

Number of hands simulated:   41,000,000
Number of hands aborted:   0
Average hands per shoe:   32.07
Number of extra players:   0
Simulated hand is at position:   0
Number of cards burned at start of shoe:   0
Number of cards to remove and count...
     before player decision:   0
     after player decision:   0

Average initial bet: $23.41
Profit per hand:    $0.34
Standard deviation per hand:    $43.05
Profit per 100 hands:    $33.66
Standard deviation per 100 hands:    $430.51

Win percentage of total hands:    42.51%
Loss percentage of total hands:    48.84%
Tie percentage of total hands:    8.65%
S>---------------------------------------------------

Detailed simulation results:
D>---------------------------------------------------
Count:        Edge:         % of hands:   Average Bet:  St. Dev.:
-10           00.00         00.00         $0.00         $0.000
-9            00.00         00.00         $0.00         $0.000
-8            00.00         00.00         $0.00         $0.000
-7            00.00         00.00         $0.00         $0.000
-6            00.00         00.00         $0.00         $0.000
-5            00.00         00.00         $0.00         $0.000
-4            00.00         00.00         $0.00         $0.000
-3            00.00         00.00         $0.00         $0.000
-2            00.00         00.00         $0.00         $0.000
-1            -01.01        10.23         $10.00        $11.500
-0            -00.53        22.38         $10.00        $11.410
0             -00.33        10.75         $10.00        $11.373
+0            00.05         22.59         $10.00        $11.374
1             00.60         14.60         $10.00        $11.398
2             01.16         08.20         $50.00        $56.938
3             01.75         04.77         $100.00       $114.099
4             02.42         02.75         $100.00       $114.331
5             03.26         01.62         $100.00       $115.338
6             03.88         00.92         $100.00       $116.089
7             04.53         00.55         $100.00       $116.534
8             05.75         00.29         $100.00       $117.281
9             06.10         00.17         $100.00       $117.029
10            07.17         00.09         $100.00       $117.637
11            08.52         00.05         $100.00       $117.845
12            09.24         00.02         $100.00       $118.313
13            09.05         00.01         $100.00       $117.303
14            12.48         00.01         $100.00       $117.469
15            11.40         00.00         $100.00       $119.676
16            21.77         00.00         $100.00       $115.487
17            12.28         00.00         $100.00       $109.625
18            17.11         00.00         $100.00       $99.671
19            -25.00        00.00         $100.00       $122.474
20            04.17         00.00         $100.00       $125.000
D>---------------------------------------------------
 

The Mayor

Well-Known Member
#4
10k will give about a 3% ROR

Here are some ROR numbers.

Your average bet (or unit) in PBA is $23.41.

Bankroll = 200 units = $4682, ROR = 18.26%
Bankroll = 400 units = $9364, ROR = 3.33%
Bankroll = 600 units = $14046, ROR = 0.61%
 
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