RoR question

[Cass]

BR: $10,000 ;betting spread $25-200 (1-8). Game is DD S17,DA2, DAS, split up to 3times. Penetration 65% on avg. Im planning on playing roughly 80 hrs over the next month. What is my Ror?>

thanks

 

[KenSmith]

I plugged this game into Blackjack Risk Manager 2002, and was pleasantly surprised at the results.

With a $10K bank and 80 hours of play, your risk of ruin is under 2%.
Not bad at all! Even at a slow 60 hands per hour pace, your expected win is $40 per hour.

 

[Cass]

Excellent!

Thanks ken
I would have guessed the number to be more around 25%.

 

[Senacchrib]

Hey

Can someone explain this concept to me? Is it the percent chance of losing your whole BR?

 

[zengrifter]

Thanks ken, I would have guessed the number to be more around 25%.

Your $200 topBet is a bit large and will tend toward potential 'rollercoaster' thrill-ride effect. So reduce your top bet to 2hands of $100 each. And yes, without actually running the sim I guess that your longterm RoR IS 25%+... just not in that small time sampling. So use the smaller topBet that I recommend. zg