someone knock me off my high horse

Cass

Well-Known Member
#1
I started counting a week and a half ago. I have made five trips to two local indian casinos. Mostly playing DD, stand 17, DA2,DAS. The penetration is anywhere frome 45%-65% depending on the dealer. ON each trip i have left with a profit from $54-600. Im playing close to a 1-10 betting spread ($5-50 or more) and $10-100. Im using Renzey's stage II KISS count. Im up $1341.00 for about 15 hours of playing total. That is almost 90/hr avg. I feel like i found a really great second income. But i know that i have just gotten lucky. Each time i play i bring $700 with, and last time at one point i was down almost $450 but left +$375. I would like to continue going 3-4 times weekly. I really only have a few thousand to bankroll me. Should I just quit while im up? Start playing a much higher level? Just go for recreation? What do you guys think?
 
#2
Cass said:
I started counting a week and a half ago. I have made five trips to two local indian casinos. Mostly playing DD, stand 17, DA2,DAS. The penetration is anywhere frome 45%-65% depending on the dealer. ON each trip i have left with a profit from $54-600. Im playing close to a 1-10 betting spread ($5-50 or more) and $10-100. Im using Renzey's stage II KISS count. Im up $1341.00 for about 15 hours of playing total. That is almost 90/hr avg. I feel like i found a really great second income. But i know that i have just gotten lucky. Each time i play i bring $700 with, and last time at one point i was down almost $450 but left +$375. I would like to continue going 3-4 times weekly. I really only have a few thousand to bankroll me. Should I just quit while im up? Start playing a much higher level? Just go for recreation? What do you guys think?
Your TRUE expected win-rate is $7-20/hr depending on unit size and deck pene, SO you are way ahead of expectation right now. Scientifically speaking, it would be wise to stick to $5 units untill you are at $6k BR, and don't be unnerved by the inevitable downswing corrections ahead. A single strong down-flux could wipeout your entire BR right now if you continue betting at $10 units or higher. zg
 
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