Dopple said:
You guys have me all wrong. The shortage of Aces is in the discards. I should have worded my post in a different way.
Yes; you should have. When card counters get together and talk about a deck that's "ace-deficient" (or even MORE correctly "ace-poor"), the correct terminology is that they are ALWAYS talking about the cards remaining in the deck.
Dopple said:
I would purport there is a significant EV potential in this modus operandi. Ace side counting is just a diluted form of ace sequencing.
It is a diluted form of ace "tracking", but a VERY diluted one. (Again; the correct terminology that you're looking for is "ace tracking", rather than "ace sequencing". Tracking and sequencing are two very different things).
Dopple said:
If I had the gear to run a sim I would have it spread to 2 or 3 hands at TC 2 with an extra .25 or .5 aces per remaining deck.
Me think me right.
Depending upon whether or not your counting system is "ace-reckoned"; you definitely ARE on to something. (I'm not familiar enough with UAPC to know which method you have).
If your counting system counts aces as zero, then by keeping a side count of aces it WILL enable you to identify favorable betting situations more often, at LEAST in borderline decisions. If the remaining cards are rich in aces, your advantage is somewhat stronger than your count indicates. If the deck is ace POOR, then your advantage is NOT as strong as the count is telling you. With this system it's actually POSSIBLE for the deck to be so ace-poor that the count will tell you to that you have the advantage and you should raise your bet; but in REALITY you are at NEGATIVE EV!
If your system counts aces as a negative value (ace-reckoned), then this is already done FOR you.
Why are some systems designed to be ace-reckoned and some are not? Because one that is not ace-reckoned will be able to give you a more accurate PLAYING strategy, and an ace-reckoned system will give you a more accurate BETTING strategy. The former works best for SD and DD, and the latter is best for multiple deck games.
P.S. - I apologize if I came across as someone who was "scolding" you at the beginning of this post; but it IS important that we're all on the same page when communicating with each other.
