What does advantage really mean.

fsscout

Member
I am not certain what advantage means. If one has a 1% advantage I take it to mean that you should win 1% of your total wagering sum. In other words if you bet a total of $10,000 over a period of time your expected profits would be $100. Is this correct?
 
Basically, you are correct. But there IS some disagreement in the mathematical community over a slight technicality:

According to Peter Griffin; Advantage = (wins - losses) / (wins + losses).
According to WizardofOdds; Advantage = (wins - losses) / (wins + losses + ties).

The problem with Griffin is that, in a game with pushes or ties; your expectation will always be somewhat less than your advantage. With a 1% advantage, after $10,000 in total bets you can expect to be LESS than $100 ahead, because of pushes.

If you go by the Wizards' definition, then your expectation WILL be $100 after $10K is bet, but the problem with this definition is that it breaks down when trying to determine your bet size for a given advantage.

Personally, I'm going with Griffin. I like the idea of always knowing the optimal bet size for every situation.
 
Advantage is the amount won over the initial amount bet, not the total amount.

That is why CVData/CVCX makes a clear distinction between IBA(Initial Bet Advantage) and TBA(Total Bet Advantage), if people only read the help files :)
 
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