Not Quite So
rrwoods said:
No offense but your method is wrong.
Your method treats the cards you didn't see as though you had seen them, and counted them, and found that they increased the RC by the appropriate amount.
Think of it this way: Let's say I'm five decks into an eight deck shoe dealt to six and a half decks. My RC is +3 at this point. That would mean my TC is +1. Why don't I just pretend that the dealer takes a deck from behind the cut card and puts it in the discard tray? It's all unseen cards, so it shouldn't matter, right? But using your method, I could say that now I'm six decks into the shoe instead, and adjust my RC to +2, yes?
you have to have an understaing of the "true count theorem" to understand this example:
you are watching a table
you are at the 4 out of 8 deck mark with a running cout of 8
you have tc2
you are distracted for 1 deck and have no idea its RC
what do you do?
The "true count theorem" tells us that the running count changes while the TC "tends" to stay the same.
so we are now at the 5 out of 8 deck level. The TC is still 2 on "average" so we have to ask ourselves what RC gives us a TC of 2? It's RC 6.
Another way to understand the TC theorem
4 out of 8 decks TC of 2
so there are 8 extra big cards?
On average how many will come out per deck? answer is 2
so the RC would become 6 on "average" at the 5 out of 8 deck level
another way to look at it
every shoe starts at tc0 and ends tc0
the RC moves all around
all the above would be with wide variance
:joker::whip: