Wont back down

Dopple

Well-Known Member
Does it make sense to be a little less aggresive with your betting when on a losing streak. Why? Is there such thing as a losing streak? Yes, it is a chain of losses but again all the episodes are independent of each other right? Unless you are down to your last dollar does not math say bet when losing with the same bravado you would in a winning mode?
 
Dopple

Dopple said:
Does it make sense to be a little less aggresive with your betting when on a losing streak. Why? Is there such thing as a losing streak? Yes, it is a chain of losses but again all the episodes are independent of each other right? Unless you are down to your last dollar does not math say bet when losing with the same bravado you would in a winning mode?
If you are counting you know what is happening with the cards, composition etc. If the dealer is just kicking ass take a break come back in an hour, find another table, drop to min and control the cut card for a few rounds. Get up and get a coffee, go to the John.

Do you hold a stock that is stinking year after year or do you sell it?

You do what you feel comfortable doing, not what others tell you to do, play a strong game by the math, but don't sit and take a beating, use your head!

Is there only one table in that casino you play at?:laugh:

CP
 

johndoe

Well-Known Member
Dopple said:
Does it make sense to be a little less aggresive with your betting when on a losing streak. Why? Is there such thing as a losing streak? Yes, it is a chain of losses but again all the episodes are independent of each other right? Unless you are down to your last dollar does not math say bet when losing with the same bravado you would in a winning mode?
There's no such thing. The sessions (shoes) are independent.

But when you are on a "losing streak", it's likely your bankroll has taken a hit, so it's prudent to re-assess your betting amounts to be sure you're not overbetting. For example, if you had a personally acceptable risk of ruin while betting $25 units on your original bankroll, and your bankroll is now squashed, it may be time to reduce to $10 or $15 units. (The converse is also true.)

Remember, this has nothing to do with "streaks" or dependence of outcomes; it's purely about how much bankroll you have.
 

Dopple

Well-Known Member
I suppose that taking a break makes sense but here is an example. I had time for a quick DD the other night and the dealer said he had been kicking butt all night. I said it must be time for a "change".

I had a very rare DD bringing in 60 units in 5 minutes.

I just fight with myself over understanding how any concept of streak can hold up in the "high court of math". A table change, dealer, town change should have no effect with all other parameters equal i.e. pen and rules.

Forgive my poetic license and thanks for bouncing this idea back and forth.
 

johndoe

Well-Known Member
Dopple said:
I just fight with myself over understanding how any concept of streak can hold up in the "high court of math". A table change, dealer, town change should have no effect with all other parameters equal i.e. pen and rules.
There's no reason to fight with yourself. The math is correct, and the ploppy-thinking of "streaks" is not. Get over it and get on with winning.
 

sagefr0g

Well-Known Member
creeping panther said:
If you are counting you know what is happening with the cards, composition etc. If the dealer is just kicking ass take a break come back in an hour, find another table, drop to min and control the cut card for a few rounds. Get up and get a coffee, go to the John.

Do you hold a stock that is stinking year after year or do you sell it?

You do what you feel comfortable doing, not what others tell you to do, play a strong game by the math, but don't sit and take a beating, use your head!

Is there only one table in that casino you play at?:laugh:

CP
ahmen bro
 

Lonesome Gambler

Well-Known Member
As most people here have probably read ad nauseam, there are such things as streaks, it's just that you have no way of predicting when a streak will begin or end. As such, they're pointless to worry about. More hands * more hours is all you should worry about. I do agree that you should walk away during a losing streak if it's somehow affecting your ability to play completely analytically and properly.
 
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