Recent content by 3aces

My failure to eliminate emotion involves trip outcomes. It’s a 4 hour flight for me and the return flight after a loss is unpleasant. I usually book 3 nights but if I get ahead by $3K - $4K ( 12-16 max bets) I quit playing and head home early. Conversely I do not employ a “stop loss”. My “stop...

me too curious about that sidebet

Cover and Act I think cover plays are generally useless, but in this type of situation my goal would be to try to convince the PB that I am not an expert player. I don't want him to call upstairs to alert surveillance. I want to play out the good shoe and then leave, but I don't want them to do...

DD in Tunica I've got to be in Tunica for something else and may play a little BJ, so I checked CBJN. Looks like there are 4 stores with DD H17 with pen 0.6 - 0.8. Barely playable, I guess, with an aggressive spread, anon, and some goofy wonging out and short sessions. Not much else worth...

"Green" Aria My understanding is that the dim lighting and dark tones in the Aria are because it's a "green" facility. Lots of recycled materials everywhere, including the rooms. Dealer told me this, I had not heard it before. Truly a pain to access, but good games, and contrary to earlier...

heat and longevity I only play about 150 hours per yr in Vegas, with a spread very similar to yours. And it's amazing how familiar the dealers/pit bosses have become and how familiar I am to them. I mostly stick to the carpet joints with playable games. Only one back off and some heat at the...

CP, that is a very interesting statement - that you "very seldom" have a losing session and are a "constant winner" due to strong index play, knowledge of card composition and floating advantage, bet pattern, game selection and discipline.... I believe I have read elsewhere that you have...

When I do it, I bemoan my loss and comment on how stupid I am and ask whether insurance is a bad idea. Get all the usual goofy advice - "only insure a good hand, house would not offer it unless it was to their advantage". I explain that I am trying to learn some of the finer points, but get...

Oh Kewljason, I surely will learn from my error. Those room safes are there for a reason. But, regardless of my mistake, I still suggest that taking time to enjoy the ride is one way to avoid burnout. Who's bitching? My reason for sharing the embarrassing story is to warn others that one...

Kewljason, Of course the gal turned out to be a criminal/scam artist and probably just a plain hooker in her spare time. But when she did not want $ up front, it appeared I might have just gotten lucky. She had a long, detailed cover story, was quite an actress, a total hammer, and devoted a...

retirement? Matt, excellent thread, with lots of things to contemplate for those of us who are thinking of retirement from counting. I noticed over on bj21.com that MathProf is at that point after a couple of down years. Also, thanks for your help in another thread calculating the...

Thanks matt21. The win rate is $128 per hour and the actual SD is $1808 per hour. Not sure I follow your formula. What do you get as the probability of losing $15K or more in 15 hours? Flash, wouldn't you agree it's a result that should happen pretty infrequently? It has happened to me once...

Playing a game with a standard deviation of $2,000 per hour, what is the probability of losing $15,000 in 15 hours of play?

Locations If your story is true, I think you should have your post busted (deleted). You might get that done before casino staff read it and figure out who you are. There is a little debate on the issue, but I personally think it is a certainty that casino staff browse this and other sites at...

wynn comps Not sure about Wynn's comp methods exactly, but I played there for a few hours at light black - on a few different trips - and could not even get a buffet from the pit or hosts. Then got an e mail offer for a suite and used it, but again was told I did not have enough play for a...